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This paper shows that, with (partial) irreversibility, higher uncertainty reduces the impact effect of demand shocks on investment. Uncertainty increases real option values making firms more cautious when investing or disinvesting. This is confirmed both numerically for a model with a rich mix...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466282
When investment decisions cannot be reversed and returns to capital are uncertain, the firm faces a higher user cost of capital than if it could reverse its decisions. This higher user cost tends to reduce the firm's capital stock. Opposing this effect is the irreversibility constraint itself:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473506
Investment is characterized by costly reversibility when a firm can purchase capital at a given price and sell capital at a lower price. We derive an explicit analytic solution for optimal investment by a firm facing costly reversibility. In addition, we derive a local approximation to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473796
Many recent theoretical papers have come under attack for modeling prices as Geometric Brownian Motion. This process can diverge over time, implying that firms facing this price process can earn infinite profits. We explore the significance of this attack and contrast investment under Geometric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473845
that theory has to offer and then runs a series of simple tests aimed at evaluating the empirical significance of various … of the marginal product of capital, and we find no evidence for the presence of a CAPM-based effect of risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473912
This paper derives closed-form solutions for the investment and market value, under uncertainty, of competitive firms with constant returns to scale production and convex costs of adjustment. Solutions are derived for the case of irreversible investment as well as for reversible investment....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474539
highly sensitive to uncertainty. We briefly summarize the theory, stressing its empirical implications. We then use cross …-section and time-series data for a set of developing and industrialized countries to explore the relevance of the theory for … - affects investment as the theory suggests, but the size of the effect is moderate, and is greatest for developing countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474573
This paper extends the theory of investment under uncertainty to incorporate fixed costs of investment, a wedge between …, investment is positive and is an increasing function of q, as is standard in the theory branch of the adjustment cost literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474664
especially sensitive to risk, whether with respect to future cash flows, interest rates, or the ultimate cost of the investment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475728
The optimal timing of real investment is studied under the assumptions that investment is irreversible and that new information about returns is arriving over time. Investment should be undertaken in this case only when the costs of deferring the project exceed the expected value of information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478634