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Past government spending in Japan is currently imposing a significant fiscal burden that is reflected in a net debt to output ratio near 150 percent. In addition, the aging of Japanese society implies that public expenditures and transfers payments relative to output are projected to continue to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459229
formation and inflation in a number of small, classical macroeconomic models. This amounts to reworking some of the government … crowding-out pressure it represents. A better measure would be the inflation-and-real-growth-corrected, cyclically adjusted …-Wallace "paradox" - in the variable velocity model ,lower monetary growth now may mean higher inflation now and in the future -has its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478025
, positive government budget deficit can be maintained permanently and without inflation if it is financed by the issue of bonds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478203
Brazil has had a long period of high inflation. It peaked around 100 percent per year in 1964, decreased until the … crisis in the early 1980s. We show that the high-inflation period (1960-1994) was characterized by a combination of fiscal … deficits, passive monetary policy, and constraints on debt financing. The transition to the low-inflation period (1995 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479377
, we document several potential fiscal dominance effects during 2000-2017 under Inflation Targeting (IT), and non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479945
policy and inflation. As a backdrop, we briefly lay out several theoretical approaches to the effects of fiscal deficits on … inflation: the earlier Keynesian and monetarist approaches; and modern approaches incorporating expectations and forward looking …We find that the relationship between fiscal deficits and inflation generally holds in wartime when fiscally stressed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482414
policies will adjust. Temporarily explosive debt has no effect on inflation if households expect all adjustments to occur … targeting inflation to stabilizing debt, then debt feeds directly into the path of inflation and monetary policy can no longer … control inflation. News that reduces expected primary surpluses can bring future inflation into the present, well before the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461858
a burst of inflation that devalues the existing nominal debt stock. The probability of this outcome places upward … pressure on inflation expectations and poses a substantial challenge to a central bank pursuing an inflation target. The … distribution of outcomes for the path of future inflation has a fat right tail, revealing that only a small set of outcomes imply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462162
108.6 percent. Inflation reduced this ratio about 40 percent within a decade. Yet there are some important differences … inflate. It suggests that when economic growth is stalled, the U.S. debt overhang may trigger an increase in inflation of … about 5 percent for several years. This additional inflation would significantly reduce the debt ratio, even with some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463087
the primary deficit with future values of inflation, interest rates, GDP and narrow money growth and changes in the … through adjustments in the primary deficit (80-100%), with less substantial roles being played by inflation (0-10%) and GDP … growth (0-20%). Focusing on the relation between fiscal imbalances and inflation suggests extremely modest interactions. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466007