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How can mortgages be redesigned to reduce housing market volatility, consumption volatility, and default? How does mortgage design interact with monetary policy? We answer these questions using a quantitative equilibrium life cycle model with aggregate shocks, long-term mortgages, and an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453268
This paper uses a structural model to show that foreclosures played a crucial role in exacerbating the recent housing bust and to analyze foreclosure mitigation policy. We consider a dynamic search model in which foreclosures freeze the market for non-foreclosures and reduce price and sales...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480160
During the 1960s and 1970s, the U.S. government closely regulated the single-family housing finance system. The regulation manifested itself in a highly specialized system with four notable characteristics: portfolio restrictions against investments in corporate assets, tax inducements to invest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475230
Two phenomena characterized the housing market in the 1970s: a somewhat-disguised surge toward home ownership and a well-publicized sharp increase in the real price of housing. These movements were partially reversed in the first half of the 1980s. In the "standard view", the 1970s changes are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476823
6. International Capital Flows and House Prices: Theory and Evidence / Jack Favilukis, David Kohn, Sydney C. Ludvigson …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013480761
predictive distribution incorporates the parameter uncertainty, so that it is relevant for decision making under uncertainty in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473148
This paper explores the practice of mortgage refinancing in a dynamic competitive lending model with risky borrowers and costly default. We show that prepayment penalties improve welfare by ensuring longer-term lending contracts, which prevents the mortgage pools from becoming disproportionately...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462071
We estimate a structural model of household liquidity management in the presence of long-term mortgages. Households face counter-cyclical idiosyncratic labor income uncertainty and borrowing constraints, which affect optimal choices of leverage, precautionary saving in liquid assets and illiquid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459239
Aggregate housing demand shocks are an important source of house price fluctuations in the standard macroeconomic models, and through the collateral channel, they drive macroeconomic fluctuations. These reduced-form shocks, however, fail to generate a highly volatile price-to-rent ratio that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479618
which confirm the theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462681