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Expanding on an approach suggested by Ashenfelter (1984), we extend the Phillips curve to an open economy and exploit panel data to estimate the textbook 'expectations augmented' Phillips curve with a market-based and observable measure of inflation expectations. We develop this measure using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471456
This paper examines the shift in the relation between the inflation rate and the rate of growth of real output which has occurred in the United States over the past three decades, and attempts to assess the relative importance of three possible lines of explanation: a) the new classical view of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478022
We study the international monetary policy design problem within an optimizing two-country sticky price model, where each country faces a short run tradeoff between output and inflation. The model is sufficiently tractable to solve analytically. We find that in the Nash equilibrium, the policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469845
The paper extends Woodford's (2000) analysis of the closed economy Phillips curve to an open economy with both commodity trade and capital mobility. We show that consumption smoothing, which comes with the opening of the capital market, raises the degree of strategic complementarity among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470411
of these shocks under different degrees of capital mobility may alter the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, i.e., the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473638
relates measured unemployment to vacancies and to excess demand. The model has a more sophisticated treatment of dynamics than … earlier disequilibrium models, and uses measured unemployment as an endogenous variable. Two of the error terms are assumed to … estimates computed in various ways are reasonable. The model is used to estimate the natural rate of unemployment as well as a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477432
relates average unemployment to average wage inflation; the curve is virtually vertical for high inflation rates but becomes …, at low inflation. Fourth, when inflation decreases, volatility of unemployment increases whereas the volatility of … inflation decreases: this implies a long-run trade-off also between the volatility of unemployment and that of wage inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464660
interpretation for the dynamic inflation--unemployment relation found in the data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466865
advantage of the workers' induces higher unemployment in equilibrium. The upshot is a long run tradeoff between inflation and … unemployment for low levels of inflation. The prediction that low inflation involves higher unemployment in Europe but not in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469850
unemployment-inflation tradeoff since 1995 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470298