Showing 1 - 10 of 8,587
In this paper we show that measures of economic uncertainty (conditional volatility of consumption) predict and are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469320
We find evidence of infrequent shifts, or "regimes," in the mean of the asset valuation variable <i>cay<sub>t</sub></i> that are strongly associated with low-frequency fluctuations in the real federal funds rate, with low policy rates associated with high asset valuations, and vice versa. There is no evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456107
price volatility and "sentiment" fluctuations. We construct a general equilibrium model of sentiment. In it, there are two … the proportion of wealth invested into equity except when they are extremely optimistic about future growth. Moreover … exploit, and hence, eliminate excessive volatility, except in the very long run." …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466868
Major events often trigger abrupt changes in stock prices and volatility. We study the implications of jumps in prices … and volatility on investment strategies. Using the event-risk framework of Duffie, Pan, and Singleton (2000), we provide … event risk is less willing to take leveraged or short positions. The investor acts as if some portion of his wealth may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469608
In a model with housing collateral, a decrease in house prices reduces the collateral value of housing, increases household exposure to idiosyncratic risk, and increases the conditional market price of risk. This collateral mechanism can quantitatively replicate the conditional and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467732
In a model with housing collateral, the ratio of housing wealth to human wealth shifts the conditional distribution of … that a decrease in the ratio of housing wealth to human wealth predicts higher returns on stocks. Conditional on this ratio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468738
Both textbook economics and common sense teach us that the value of household wealth should be related to consumer … suggest. An important first step in understanding the consumption-wealth linkage is determining how closely the two variables … relative importance of permanent and transitory innovations in the variation of consumer spending and wealth and find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468849
Keynesian (HANK) model. The model yields empirically realistic distributions of household wealth and marginal propensities to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456775
The wealthy hand-to-mouth are households who hold little or no liquid wealth (cash, checking, and savings accounts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458591
unemployment. The novel feature is that the scope for sunspot-driven volatility depends on the level of household wealth. When …Periods of low household wealth in United States macroeconomic history have also been periods of high business cycle … volatility. This paper develops a simple model that can exhibit self-fulfilling fluctuations in the expected path for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457673