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Contemporary observers viewed the recession that began in the summer of 1929 as nothing extraordinary. Recent analyses have shown that the subsequent large deflation was econometrically forecastable, implying that a driving force in the depression was the high expected real interest rates faced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469702
In this paper, I combine data on incidents associated with rail transportation of crude oil and detailed data on rail shipments to appraise the relation between increased use of rail to transport crude oil and the risk of safety incidents associated with those shipments. I find a positive link...
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Over the last twenty years the wage-education relationships in the US and Germany have evolved very differently, while … files from the PSID (US) and the GSOEP (Germany), we demonstrate how factor movements within these countries are associated … capital over the 1979-96 period, while Germany accumulated factors in a more balanced manner …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471064
-wage services in the US and Germany. We find a clear low-wage service jobs deficit' in Germany but this is not due to excessively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471159
Germany's more compressed wage structure is taken by many analysts as the main cause of the German-US difference in job … creation. We find that the US has a more dispersed level of skills than Germany but even adjusted for skills, Germany has a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471160
We investigate the Expectations Hypotheses of the term structure of interest rates and of the foreign exchange market using vector autoregressive methods for the U.S. dollar, Deutsche mark, and British pound interest rates and exchange rates. In addition to standard Wald tests, we formulate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471161
Based on explicit present value calculations, the paper criticizes the view that the PAYGO system wastes economic resources. In present value terms, there is nothing to be gained from a transition to funded system even though the latter offers a permanently higher rate of return. The sum of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471177