Showing 1 - 10 of 918
We develop a model of firm learning in volatile markets with noisy signals and test its predictions using historical data from the Ifo Institute's Business Climate Survey. We find that firms' forecasts improve as they age. We also exploit German Reunification as a natural experiment where firms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459454
This paper uses Generational Accounting to assess the fiscal impacts of Korean reunification. Our findings suggest that early reunification will result in a large increase in the fiscal burden for most current and future generations of South Koreans. The Korean reunification's fiscal impact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467998
This paper advances the hypothesis that the EUS crisis was caused by German unification. The unification has implied a massive resource demand which parallels the US resource demand following Reagan's tax reforms in the eighties. The resource demand revised the German interest rates relative to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472989
The paper comments on the economic effects of the German unification. Apart from discussing the unification in an international perspective, analyzing the distributional consequences, and pointing to structural adjustment problems, it emphasizes the distinction between the frequently cited money...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475424
This paper develops a quantitative model of internal city structure that features agglomeration and dispersion forces and an arbitrary number of heterogeneous city blocks. The model remains tractable and amenable to empirical analysis because of stochastic shocks to commuting decisions, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458313
economic mobility. Using standard measures of mobility (with panel data for the western states of Germany and the U.S.) over … the entire period 1984-2006, we find the conventional result that income mobility is greater in Germany. But when we cut … significantly over the years immediately following reunification in Germany but not in the U.S …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460042
to East Germany in 1989 experience a persistent rise in their personal incomes after the fall of the Berlin Wall … within a given West German region invest in East Germany. As a result, West German regions which (for idiosyncratic reasons … capita in the early 1990s. A one standard deviation rise in the share of households with social ties to East Germany in 1989 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461472
We estimate the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on business failures among small and medium size enterprises (SMEs) in seventeen countries using a large representative firm-level database. We use a simple model of firm cost-minimization and measure each firm's liquidity shortfall during and after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481180
Using the firm-level data set, the paper attempts to examine the dynamic patterns in the allocation of credit across firms in recent Korea. In particular, the paper examines the dynamic patterns in the allocation of credit across large and small firms before and after the crisis. The data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469124
Can a government credibly promise not to bailout firms whose failure would have major negative systemic consequences? Our analysis of Korea's 1997-99 crisis, suggests an answer: No. Despite a general "no bailout" policy during the crisis, the largest Korean corporate groups (chaebol) - facing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461139