This paper is a theoretical study into how credit constraints interact with aggregate economic activity over the … not only factors of production, but they also serve as collateral for loans. Borrowers' credit limits are affected by the … prices of the collateralized assets. And at the same time, these prices are affected by the size of the credit limits. The …

We propose a model of money, credit and bubbles, and use it to study the role of monetary policy in managing asset … bubbles. In this model, bubbles pop up and burst, generating fluctuations in credit, investment and output. Two key insights … away from bubbles - and the credit that they sustain - to money, reducing intermediation, investment and growth. We explore …

We present a model of credit cycles arising from diagnostic expectations - a belief formation mechanism based on … nest rational expectations as a special case. In our model of credit cycles, credit spreads are excessively volatile, over …-react to news, and are subject to predictable reversals. These dynamics can account for several features of credit cycles and …

Credit booms are not rare and usually precede financial crises. However, some end in a crisis (bad booms) while others … do not (good booms). We document that credit booms start with an increase in productivity, which subsequently falls much … faster during bad booms. We develop a model in which crises happen when credit markets change to an information regime with …

are usually preceded by credit booms. Second, credit booms often do not result in a crisis. That is, there are "good …

official beginning of the recession in the fourth quarter of 2007. Similarly, counties with the highest reliance on credit card … statistical model shows that household leverage growth and dependence on credit card borrowing as of 2006 explain a large fraction …

model presented extends the theory of King and Plosser by recognizing that both money and trade credit provide transactions … services. The model shows that the comovements between money and trade credit can reveal the nature of the underlying shocks …

A growing literature shows that credit indicators forecast aggregate real outcomes. While researchers have proposed … simple, frictionless, model explains empirical findings commonly attributed to credit cycles. Our key assumption is that … firms have heterogeneous exposures to underlying economy-wide shocks. This leads to endogenous dispersion in credit quality …

In advanced economies, a century-long near-stable ratio of credit to GDP gave way to rapid financialization and surging …