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Prediction, Judgment and Complexity : A Theory of Decision Making and Artificial Intelligence
Agrawal, Ajay K. - 2018
. In this paper, we explore the consequences of improved prediction in decision-making. To do so, we adapt existing models … of decision-making under uncertainty to account for the process of determining payoffs. We label this process of … on whether the improvements in prediction enable automated decision-making. We discuss the implications of improved …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453471
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Procurement Contracting with Time Incentives : Theory and Evidence
Bajari, Patrick - 2009
In public sector procurement, social welfare often depends on the time taken to complete the contract. A leading …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463793
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The Modern Wholesaler : Global Sourcing, Domestic Distribution, and Scale Economies
Ganapati, Sharat - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
Nearly half of all transactions in the $5 trillion market for manufactured goods in the United States were intermediated by wholesalers in 2012, up from 32 percent in 1992. Seventy percent of this increase is due to the growth of "superstar" firms - the largest one percent of wholesalers....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468236
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Participation and Investment Decisions in a Retirement Plan : The Influence of Colleagues' Choices
Duflo, Esther - 2000
This paper investigates whether peer effects play an important role in retirement savings decisions. We use individual data from the staff of a university to study whether individual decisions to enroll in a Tax Deferred Account plan sponsored by the university (and the choice of the mutual fund...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471015
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The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms : Measurement, Determinants, and Implications
Weber, Michael; D'Acunto, Francesco; Gorodnichenko, Yuriy; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
Households' and firms' subjective inflation expectations play a central role in macroeconomic and intertemporal microeconomic models. We discuss how subjective inflation expectations are measured, the patterns they display, their determinants, and how they shape households' and firms' economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210074
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A Model of Firms' Decisions to Export or Produce Abroad
Weinblatt, J. - 1980
This paper is a theoretical analysis of the factors influencing production location decisions by a multinational corporation. It starts with a simple model of optimization for a firm facing the choice between exporting and producing abroad a single differentiated final product and then develops...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478625
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An Economic Model of Amniocentesis Choice
Fajnzylber, Eduardo - 2010
Medical practitioners typically utilize the following protocol when advising pregnant women about testing for the possibility of genetic disorders: Pregnant women over the age of 35 should be tested for Down syndrome and other genetic disorders; for younger women, such tests are discouraged...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462351
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Measuring intertemporal preferences using response times
Chabris, Christopher F. - 2008
We use two different approaches to measure intertemporal preferences. First we employ the classical method of inferring preferences from a series of choices (subjects choose between $X now or $Y in D days). Second we adopt the novel approach of inferring preferences using only response time data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464294
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Bayesian Learning in Social Networks
Acemoglu, Daron - 2008
We study the perfect Bayesian equilibrium of a model of learning over a general social network. Each individual receives a signal about the underlying state of the world, observes the past actions of a stochastically-generated neighborhood of individuals, and chooses one of two possible actions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464607
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Optimal Defaults and Active Decisions
Carroll, Gabriel D. - 2005
-inconsistency strengthen the normative appeal of the active-decision enrollment regime. However, financial illiteracy favors default enrollment … over active decision enrollment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467613