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How will countries handle idiosyncratic national macroeconomic shocks under the European single currency? The ways in which European countries now react to internally asymmetric shocks provide a better forecast than do the regional response pattern of the United States. In this paper we compare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471641
The resource boom effect and the input price effect of raw material price changes are analyzed within a two-period, two-sector (plus resource industry), open economy framework. Diagrammatic exposition is used to study the 'Dutch disease', and in particular the distinction between the short term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478297
This paper reviews the leading ideas that have emerged within two paradigms of price adjustment. Neither, it appears, provides a satisfactory theoretical scheme when taken in isolation. This paper concludes that an attempt to merge the more convincing elements of each is needed, and some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478502
economies in the 1970's -- the unprecedented rise in raw materials prices, in particular the oil price shock, and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478808
oil-price shock and the 9/11 terrorist attack. This paper offers a structural framework to analyze the impact of these … data. The parameterized model is then used to simulate a macro uncertainty shock, which produces a rapid drop and rebound … medium term the increased volatility from the shock induces an overshoot in output, employment and productivity. Thus, second …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465265
This paper presents a general equilibrium approach to calculating labour adjustment costs induced by trade policy changes or external sector shocks, which we illustrate by analyzing the adjustment consequences of eliminating quotas and tariffs on U.S. imports. In our approach, factor adjustments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474306
The pronounced and persistent impact of the global financial crisis of 2008 motivates our empirical analysis of the role of institutions and macroeconomic fundamentals on countries' adjustment to shocks. Our empirical analysis shows that the associations of growth level, growth volatility,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455214
We analyze the degree to which the growing importance of sovereign wealth funds [SWFs] and the diffusion of inflation targeting and augmented Taylor rules have impacted the post crisis adjustment of Latin American Countries (LATAM) to the challenges associated with terms of trade and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458019
shocks have a very persistent effect on real activity. In determining the speed of recovery from an adverse economic shock …, the most important factor is the extent to which the shock erodes entrepreneurial wealth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459365
We compare risk sharing in response to demand and supply shocks in four types of currency unions: segmented markets; a banking union; a capital market union; and complete financial markets. We show that a banking union is efficient at sharing all domestic demand shocks (deleveraging, fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479975