Showing 1 - 10 of 13,471
This paper addresses the puzzle of regime-dependent volatility in foreign exchange. We extend the literature in two … induce volatility under flexible rates because they have portfolio-balance effects on price, whereas under fixed rates the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470227
This paper develops an explicitly stochastic new open economy macroeconomics' model, which can potentially be used to explore the qualitative and quantitative welfare differences between alternative exchange rate regimes. A crucial feature is that we do not simplify by assuming certainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472119
The extent and direction of causation between micro volatility and business cycles are debated. We examine, empirically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458049
This paper presents a very simple model of the effects of flexible exchange rates in the transmission of business cycles. The starting point is the traditional "locomotive" effect, through exports and imports. Aside from this horizontal transmission, the intertemporal exchange rate model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477511
forecasting of daily and lower frequency volatility and return distributions. Most procedures for modeling and forecasting … ARCH or stochastic volatility models, which often perform poorly at intraday frequencies. Use of realized volatility … and forecasting. Building on the theory of continuous-time arbitrage-free price processes and the theory of quadratic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470566
. Our theory implies a connection between the estimated risk premium equation, and the influence of exchange rate volatility …We examine how exchange rate volatility affects exporter's pricing decisions in the presence of optimal forward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475370
floating rates allows for a lower variance of consumption, but exchange rate volatility itself leads to a lower average level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471945
Guided by a macroeconomic model in which non-energy commodity prices are endogenously determined, we apply a new factor-based identification strategy to decompose the historical sources of changes in commodity prices and global economic activity. The model yields a factor structure for commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458661
The theoretical literature on pricing-to-market has identified two possible reasons why the elasticity of prices to exchange rate changes may be asymmetric across appreciations and depreciations. If firms are attempting to increase market shares in foreign markets subject to the possibility of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474798
The corners hypothesis holds that intermediate exchange rate regimes are vanishing, or should be. Surprisingly for a new conventional wisdom, this hypothesis so far lacks analytic foundations. In part, the generalization is overdone. We nevertheless offer one possible theoretical rationale, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470836