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different from zero in both 5-min and 1-min forecast horizons, but the significance disappears in the 30-minute interval. The t …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465979
A surprisingly large amount of commentary today marks the beginning of the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s from either the Netscape Communications initial public offering of 1995 or Alan Greenspan's "irrational exuberance" speech of 1996. We believe that this is wrong: we see little sign that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466660
Modern technology provides the basis of an efficient low-cost electronic payments as an alternative to the current system where fiat money is the medium of exchange. This paper explores possible macro-economic implication, showing how such a financial system might enhance government's ability to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455648
We model early expectations about the value and technological importance ('quality') of a patented innovation as a latent variable common to a set of four indicators: the number of patent claims, forward citations, backward citations and family size. The model is estimated for four technology...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471439
This paper proposes a Bayesian method of performance evaluation for investment managers. We begin with a flexible set …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471727
illness can significantly increase the value of statistical life, helping to reconcile theory with empirical findings that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480708
advances in the estimation and evaluation of DSGE models, discusses current challenges, and provides avenues for future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461876
This paper compares the structural approach to economic policy analysis with the program evaluation approach. It offers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462546
This paper outlines a new framework for gauging the properties of quasi-experimental estimates of the willingness to pay (WTP) for changes in environmental and other non-market amenities. As a rule, quasi-experimental methods cannot offer alternative hypotheses to judge the quality of their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463692
randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to accumulate credible knowledge of what works, without over-reliance on questionable theory …-based evaluation of projects is unlikely to lead to scientific progress in the understanding of economic development. I welcome recent … trends in development experimentation away from the evaluation of projects and towards the evaluation of theoretical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463957