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Can measured risk attitudes and associated structural models predict insurance demand? In an experiment (n = 1,730), we … parameterize seventeen common structural models (e.g., expected utility, cumulative prospect theory). Subjects also make twelve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480452
Here's why. (1) The HP filter produces series with spurious dynamic relations that have no basis in the underlying data-generating process. (2) Filtered values at the end of the sample are very different from those in the middle, and are also characterized by spurious dynamics. (3) A statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455252
I translate familiar concepts of discrete-time time-series to contnuous-time equivalent. I cover lag operators, ARMA models, the relation between levels and differences, integration and cointegration, and the Hansen-Sargent prediction formulas
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460479
We model dividend and consumption growth rates as containing a small long-run predictable component and economic uncertainty (i.e., growth rate volatility) as being time-varying. The magnitudes of the predictable variation and changing volatility in growth rates, as in the data, are quite small....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470673
Recent work by Said and Dickey (1984 ,1985) , Phillips (1987), and Phillips and Perron(1988) examines tests for unit roots in the autoregressive part of mixed autoregressive-integrated-moving average (ARIHA) models (tests for stationarity). Monte Carlo experiments show that these unit root tests...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476279
discrete choice models of demand compared to simpler alternatives. In 2013, Boston Public Schools (BPS) proposed alternative …. Pathak and Shi (2013) estimated discrete choice models of demand using families' historical choices and these demand models … of discrete choice models of demand in our context …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458802
substantiates both supply and demand effects of past price trends in housing markets, particularly with respect to subprime mortgage …-loan collateral values may have affected both the demand and the supply of mortgages. Standard time series models using repeat …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463316
account of selection on idiosyncratic demand, there are economically and statistically significant dynamics of quantities, but …-price actions (e.g. marketing and advertising), and learn gradually about their idiosyncratic demand. The model matches quantity … demand, both of which generate sluggish responses of sales to shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456737
Demand for insurance can be driven by high risk aversion or high risk. We show how to separately identify risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456874
We develop an asset pricing model with flexible heterogeneity in asset demand across investors, designed to match … institutional and household holdings. A portfolio-choice model implies characteristics-based demand when returns have a factor … variables estimator for the characteristics-based demand system to address the endogeneity of demand and asset prices. Using U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456921