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Can measured risk attitudes and associated structural models predict insurance demand? In an experiment (n = 1,730), we … parameterize seventeen common structural models (e.g., expected utility, cumulative prospect theory). Subjects also make twelve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480452
Here's why. (1) The HP filter produces series with spurious dynamic relations that have no basis in the underlying data-generating process. (2) Filtered values at the end of the sample are very different from those in the middle, and are also characterized by spurious dynamics. (3) A statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455252
I translate familiar concepts of discrete-time time-series to contnuous-time equivalent. I cover lag operators, ARMA models, the relation between levels and differences, integration and cointegration, and the Hansen-Sargent prediction formulas
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460479
We model dividend and consumption growth rates as containing a small long-run predictable component and economic uncertainty (i.e., growth rate volatility) as being time-varying. The magnitudes of the predictable variation and changing volatility in growth rates, as in the data, are quite small....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470673
Recent work by Said and Dickey (1984 ,1985) , Phillips (1987), and Phillips and Perron(1988) examines tests for unit roots in the autoregressive part of mixed autoregressive-integrated-moving average (ARIHA) models (tests for stationarity). Monte Carlo experiments show that these unit root tests...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476279
discrete choice models of demand compared to simpler alternatives. In 2013, Boston Public Schools (BPS) proposed alternative …. Pathak and Shi (2013) estimated discrete choice models of demand using families' historical choices and these demand models … of discrete choice models of demand in our context …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458802
substantiates both supply and demand effects of past price trends in housing markets, particularly with respect to subprime mortgage …-loan collateral values may have affected both the demand and the supply of mortgages. Standard time series models using repeat …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463316
I discuss economic approaches to the demand for harmfully addictive substances and estimate time-series demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467739
We show that demand uncertainty leads to vertical product differentiation even when consumers are homogeneous. When a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468099
This paper provides an empirical estimate of price' and risk' elasticities of demand for term life insurance for those …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468772