Showing 1 - 10 of 11,457
This paper uses the sequence of government budget constraints to motivate estimates of interest payments on the U.S. Federal government debt. We explain why our estimates differ conceptually and quantitatively from those reported by the U.S. government. We use our estimates to account for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462950
This paper examines the extent to which permanent terms-of-trade shocks have an asymmetric effect on private savings … in bad states of nature, savings rates will respond asymmetrically to favorable movements in the permanent component of … standard determinants of private savings. The results, based on panel data for non-oil commodity exporters of sub …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471007
Economists working with numerical solutions to the optimal consumption/saving problem under uncertainty have long known that there are quantitatively important interactions between liquidity constraints and precautionary saving behavior. This paper provides the analytical basis for those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470222
This paper argues that the modern stochastic consumption model, in which impatient consumers face uninsurable labor income risk, matches Milton Friedman's (1957) original description of the Permanent Income Hypothesis much better than the perfect foresight or certainty equivalent models did. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470333
This paper is concerned with the theory of saving when consumers are not permitted to borrow, and with the ability of … such a theory to account for some of the stylized facts of saving behavior. When consumers are relatively impatient, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475841
their precautionary savings. This depresses interest rates, especially in the short run, and generates an output drop, even …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461074
Recent developments in public finance in the analysis of dynamic government debt policies have emphasized effects on the distribution of real resources across generations. At the same time, macroeconomists have emphasized the importance of the length of the time horizon over which agents...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476911
We study optimal fiscal policy in a small open economy (SOE) with sovereign and private default risk. The SOE's government uses linear taxation to fund exogenous expenditures and uses public debt to inter-temporally allocate tax distortions. We characterize a class of environments in which the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461202
savings has primarily focused on the impact of particular policy variables on savings. In this paper we examine Barro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477434
This essay discusses the reasons for and implications of the decline in real interest rates around the world over the past several decades. It suggests that the decline in interest rates is largely explicable from trends in saving, growth, and markups. In this environment, greater government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210052