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This paper presents evidence that the cost channel' may be an important part of the monetary transmission mechanism. We argue that if working capital is an essential component of production and distribution, monetary contractions can affect output through a supply channel as well as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471092
Supply shocks played an important role in macroeconomic fluctuations during the 1970's. Supply shocks are also increasingly important in Keynesian and neo-classical models of the business cycle. This paper is a short survey of these theoretical models. It also discusses the history of supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476923
This paper surveys the research in the past decade on imperfect information models of aggregate supply and the Phillips curve. This new work has emphasized that information is dispersed and disseminates slowly across a population of agents who strategically interact in their use of information....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462878
This paper is part of a broader project that provides a microfoundation to the General Theory of J.M. Keynes. I call … this project 'old Keynesian economics' to distinguish it from new-Keynesian economics, a theory that is based on the idea … definitions of aggregate demand and supply found in the General Theory through the lens of a search theory of the labor market. I …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465244
The New-Keynesian aggregate supply derives from micro-foundations an inflation-dynamics model very much like the tradition in the monetary literature. Inflation is primarily affected by: (i) economic slack; (ii) expectations; (iii) supply shocks; and (iv) inflation persistence. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468400
An aggregate demand - aggregate supply framework is used to analyze the effects of Japanese monetary policy, 1973:1-1990:8. It is found that money supply shocks contribute relatively little to output variability over the sample as a whole. Nor do these shocks seem to be particularly marked...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475174
We characterize the entire set of linear equilibria of beauty contest games under general information structures. In particular, we focus on equilibria in which sentiments, that is self-fulfilling changes in beliefs that are orthogonal to fundamentals and exogenous noise, can drive aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455545
We construct a model to capture the Keynesian idea that production and employment decisions are based on expectations of aggregate demand driven by sentiments, and that realized demand follows from the production and employment decisions of firms. We cast the Keynesian idea into a simple model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459783
When countries are hit by supply shocks, central banks often face the dilemma of either looking through such shocks or reacting to them to ensure that inflation expectations remain anchored. In this paper, we propose a tractable framework to capture this dilemma and explore optimal policy under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372498
This paper examines the extent to which permanent terms-of-trade shocks have an asymmetric effect on private savings … in bad states of nature, savings rates will respond asymmetrically to favorable movements in the permanent component of … standard determinants of private savings. The results, based on panel data for non-oil commodity exporters of sub …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471007