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How will countries handle idiosyncratic national macroeconomic shocks under the European single currency? The ways in which European countries now react to internally asymmetric shocks provide a better forecast than do the regional response pattern of the United States. In this paper we compare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471641
hours worked and of real wages to a fiscal policy shock. Our key finding is that the model cannot do so unless we make the …. But it cannot account for the temporal pattern of how these variables respond to a fiscal policy shock and generates a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471261
This paper investigates the response of real wages and hours worked to an exogenous shock in fiscal policy. We identify … this shock with the dynamic response of government purchases and tax rates to an exogenous increase in military purchases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471317
In this paper I focus on two specific hazard areas in the transition from Stage Two to Stage Three of European economic and monetary union (EMU), as well as on some key problems of Stage Three that EMU's monetary and fiscal structures appear ill-prepared to handle. The transitional hazards are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471509
This paper characterizes the dynamic effects of shocks in government spending and taxes on economic activity in the United States in the post-war period. It does so by using a mixed structural VAR/event study approach. Identification is achieved by using institutional information about the tax...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471521
across the G3 countries in their estimated dynamic responses to a fiscal shock. At first, and for several years thereafter …, the real exchange rate appreciates in response to an expansionary fiscal shock. However, eventually, the process is … reversed; the real exchange rate overshoots and actually depreciates relative to its initial prevailing before the fiscal shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471719
Our current inflation stemmed from a fiscal shock. The Fed is slow to react. Why? Will the Fed's slow reaction spur … high real interest rates. Price stickiness means inflation will persist past an initial shock. To reduce inflation, fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210124
first oil shock (1973), but accelerated again afterward, reaching levels above 100 percent on average between 1980 and 1994 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479377
After the economic reforms that followed the National Revolution of the 1950s, Bolivia seemed positioned for sustained growth. Indeed, it achieved unprecedented growth from 1960 to 1977. The rapid accumulation of debt due to persistent deficits and a fixed exchange rate policy during the 1970s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479478
We develop a method for identifying and quantifying the fiscal channels that help finance government spending shocks. We define fiscal shocks as surprises in defense spending and show that they are more precisely identified when defense stock data are used in addition to aggregate macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462199