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The fiscal theory says that the price level is determined by the ratio of nominal debt to the present value of real … primary surpluses. I analyze long-term debt and optimal policy in the fiscal theory. I find that the maturity structure of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472043
The setup of the paper is as follows: Section I presents a fairly standard, small deterministic macromodel with a number of classical features. All markets clear instantaneously, there is no money illusion, and perfect foresight rules. The effects of monetary, financial, and fiscal policies in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478735
The textbook optimal policy response to an increase in government debt is simple--monetary policy should actively target inflation, and fiscal policy should smooth taxes while ensuring debt sustainability. Such policy prescriptions presuppose an ability to commit. Without that ability, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479609
The COVID pandemic found policymakers facing constraints on their ability to react to an exceptionally large negative shock. The current low interest rate environment limits the tools the central bank can use to stabilize the economy, while the large public debt curtails the efficacy of fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481695
This paper demonstrates how time consistency of the Ramsey policy - the optimal fiscal and monetary policy under commitment - can be achieved. Each government should leave its successor with a unique maturity structure for the nominal and indexed debt, such that the marginal benefit of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467597
A new theory of price determination suggests that if primary surpluses are independent of the level of debt, the price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472334
This paper surveys the recent literature on the theory of macroeconomic policy. We study the effect of various …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472486
We present a signalling theory of Quantitative Easing (QE) at the zero lower bound on the short term nominal interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457331
We show that policy uncertainty about how the rising public debt will be stabilized accounts for the lack of deflation in the US economy at the zero lower bound. We first estimate a Markov-switching VAR to highlight that a zero-lower-bound regime captures most of the comovements during the Great...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458428
The global economy has a chronic shortage of safe assets which lies behind many recent macroeconomic imbalances. This paper provides a simple model of the Safe Asset Mechanism (SAM), its recessionary safety traps, and its policy antidotes. Safety traps share many common features with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459925