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This paper argues that the modern stochastic consumption model, in which impatient consumers face uninsurable labor income risk, matches Milton Friedman's (1957) original description of the Permanent Income Hypothesis much better than the perfect foresight or certainty equivalent models did. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470333
The budget constraint requires that, eventually, consumption must adjust fully to any permanent shock to income. Intuition suggests that, knowing this, optimizing agents will fully adjust their spending immediately upon experiencing a permanent shock. However, this paper shows that if consumers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470491
This paper argues that the typical household's saving is better described by a "bufferstock" version than by the traditional version of the Life Cycle/Permanent Income Hypothesis (LC/PIH) model. Buffer-stock behavior emerges if consumers with important income uncertainty are sufficiently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473045
We estimate the fraction of the wealth of a sample of PSID respondents that is held because some households face greater income uncertainty than others. We first derive an equation characterizing the theoretical relationship between wealth and uncertainty in a buffer-stock model of saving. Next,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473685
This paper uses the Panel Study of Income Dynamics to provide some of the first direct evidence that wealth is systematically higher for consumers with greater income uncertainty. However, the apparent pattern of precautionary saving is not consistent with a standard parameterization of the life...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473686
Two explanations have been proposed for the observed slowness of wealth decumulation by the elderly in the literature: the precautionary saving induced by (uninsurable) uncertainty about the time of death or by the possibility of major catastrophes in old age that require large outlays; the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474371
The objective of the work reported in this paper is to find if the consumption data from the six waves of the Retirement History Survey are consistent with the life cycle hypothesis of consumption and to test the importance of a bequest motive for saving. The 12 data items which are used cover...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475555
The marginal propensity to consume out of wealth is important for evaluating the effects of taxation on consumption, assessing the possibility of multiple equilibria due to aggregate demand spillovers, and explaining observed variations in consumption. It is also a component of the interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475630
This paper is concerned with the theory of saving when consumers are not permitted to borrow, and with the ability of … such a theory to account for some of the stylized facts of saving behavior. When consumers are relatively impatient, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475841
savings? Is it primarily accumulation for retirement as claimed by Albert Ando, Richard Brumberg, and Franco Modigliani in … their celebrated Life Cycle Model of Savings? Is it primarily intentional accumulation for intergenerational transfers? Or … is it primarily precautionary savings, much of which may be bequeathed because of imperfections in annuity markets? This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476831