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Factor supply increases (depresses) output for many of the same reasons that the government spending multiplier might …" and suggest that the government spending multiplier is less than one, even during the recession …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462850
wages; in a fairly broad class of simple models, the multiplier is 1 in the case that the monetary authority maintains a … constant path for real interest rates. The multiplier can be considerably smaller, however, if the monetary authority raises … multiplier is especially plausible when monetary policy is constrained by the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates; in such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462938
Renewed interest in fiscal policy has increased the use of quantitative models to evaluate policy. Because of modelling uncertainty, it is essential that policy evaluations be robust to alternative assumptions. We find that models currently being used in practice to evaluate fiscal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463865
-based arguments, the effect of tax changes on output is highly non-linear. The tax multiplier is essentially zero under relatively low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510525
) Globally, fiscal policy helped offset about 8% of the downturn in COVID, with a low 'traditional' fiscal multiplier. Yet it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629513
spending multiplier is large when DNWR binds, but the nature of recession matters due to the opposing response of inflation. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210053
In response to the record-breaking COVID19 recession, many governments have adopted unprecedented fiscal stimuli. While countercyclical fiscal policy is effective in fighting conventional recessions, little is known about the effectiveness of fiscal policy in the current environment with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794559
) a fiscal multiplier of one and so a missing intercept close to zero. I also discuss the robustness of this aggregation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794586
We estimate local fiscal multipliers and spillovers for the United States using a rich dataset based on U.S. Department of Defense contracts and a variety of outcome variables relating to income and employment. We find strong positive spillovers across locations and industries. Both backward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479413
This paper takes stock of what we have learned from the "Renaissance" in fiscal research in the ten years since the financial crisis. I first summarize the new innovations in methodology and discuss the various strengths and weaknesses of the main approaches. Reviewing the estimates, I come to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479486