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One of the strongest trends in recent macroeconomic modeling of labor market fluctuations is to treat unemployment … Unemployment," i.e., the extent to which increased unemployment during a recession arises from an increase in the number of … unemployment spells versus an increase in their duration. After broadly reviewing the previous literature, we replicate and extend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465803
Consider an economy subject to two kinds of shocks: (a) an observable shock to the relative demand for final goods which causes dispersion in relative prices, and (b) shocks, unobservable by workers, to the technology for transforming intermediate goods into final goods. A worker in a particular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478130
We propose a monetary model in which the unemployed satisfy the official US definition of unemployment: they are people ….e., unemployment is 'involuntary'). We integrate our model of involuntary unemployment into the simple New Keynesian framework with no … capital and use the resulting model to discuss the concept of the 'non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment'. We then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462849
a burst of layoffs. Unemployment rises because jobs are hard to find, not because an unusual number of people are thrown … into unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467502
-cycle-frequency fluctuations in unemployment and job vacancies in response to shocks of a plausible magnitude. In the U.S., the vacancy-unemployment … vacancy-unemployment ratio and labor productivity have nearly the same variance. I establish this claim both using analytical … small movement along a downward sloping Beveridge curve (unemployment-vacancy locus). A shock to the job destruction rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469164
In recessions, unemployment increases despite the--perhaps counterintuitive--fact that the number of unemployed workers … finding jobs expands. We propose a theory of unemployment fluctuations resting on this countercyclicality of gross flows from … unemployment into employment. In recessions, the abundance of new hires "congests" the jobs the unemployed fill--diminishing their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533320
unemployment benefits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459395
We propose that the natural rate of unemployment has an active role in the business cycle, in contrast to the … Phillips-curve framework of low---often extremely low---response of inflation to unemployment could be the result of fairly … most Phillips-curve studies, that conclude that inflation has little relation to unemployment. We suggest that the flat …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436979
Workers wrongly anchor their beliefs about outside options on their current wage. In particular, low-paid workers underestimate wages elsewhere. We document this anchoring bias by eliciting workers' beliefs in a representative survey in Germany and comparing them to measures of actual outside...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794650
New data compel a new view of events in the labor market during a recession. Unemployment rises almost entirely because … finding from new data is that a large fraction of workers departing jobs move to new jobs without intervening unemployment. I …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466998