Showing 1 - 10 of 1,030
Inflation targeting offers the promise of introducing to monetary policy a logic and consistency that some central …, inflation targeting also serves two further objectives that are of more questionable import, and while seemingly contradictory … vocabulary pertaining solely to inflation, inflation targeting fosters over time the atrophication of concerns for real outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469742
The paper gives a brief account of the Swedish experience of an inflation target in a floating exchange rate regime … insufficient transparency of and commitment to the current inflation- targeting policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473913
followed the German hyper-inflation. Significant real dislocations arose after the monetary reform; and these can be attributed … to a government policy which subsidized heavy industry through the inflation tax proceeds. The "credibility problem …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478387
This paper provides an explanation for the run-up of U.S. inflation in the 1960s and 1970s and the sharp disinflation … by low inflation. However, prolonged episodes of high inflation ending with rapid disinflations can occur when … policymakers underestimate both the natural rate of unemployment and the persistence of inflation in the Phillips curve. I estimate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467538
A parsimonious model of shifting policy regimes can simultaneously capture expected and actual US inflation during 1969 …. Private sector learning about policymaker type leads to a reputation state variable. We use model inflation forecasting rules … to extract state variables from SPF inflation forecasts. US inflation is tracked by optimal policy without commitment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477255
Why do some attempts at disinflation lead to substantial reductions in inflation while others do not? We investigate … that a fundamental determinant of success in reducing inflation was the strength of the Federal Reserve's commitment to … disinflation at the start of its attempts. In episodes where its commitment was high, there were significant declines in inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635629
Previous analysis of the implementation of inflation targeting is extended to monetary policy responses to different … stabilization or smoothing all call for a more gradual adjustment of the conditional inflation forecast toward the inflation target …. The conditional inflation forecast is the natural intermediate target during inflation targeting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472859
Inflation targeting is shown to imply inflation forecast targeting: the central bank's inflation forecast becomes an … explicit intermediate target. Inflation forecast targeting simplifies both implementation and monitoring of monetary policy …. The weight on output stabilization determines how quickly the inflation forecast is adjusted towards the inflation target …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473036
We empirically characterize episodes of large inflation surges that have been observed worldwide in the last three … decades. We document four facts. (1) Inflation following surges tends to be persistent, with the duration of disinflation … exceeding that of the initial inflation increase. (2) Surges are initially unexpected but followed by a gradual catch-up of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435117
The rise, fall, and stabilization of US inflation between 1969 and 2005 is consistent with a model of shifting policy … sector learning about policymaker type. Using model-implied inflation forecasting rules to extract state variables from the … inflation forecasts in the Survey of Professional Forecasters, we provide evidence that policy regimes without commitment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794613