Showing 1 - 10 of 743
The importance of increments to an existing highway system depends upon their contributions to the accessibility provided by the existing network. Nearly 40 years ago, Mohring [1965] suggested this logic for planning optimal highway investment programs. He argued it could be implemented by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462664
rely on housing price capitalization. It is a computational analog to Chetty's [2009] call for considering the measurement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463692
In this paper we investigate the comparative properties of empirically-estimated monetary models of the U.S. economy. We make use of a new data base of models designed for such investigations. We focus on three representative models: the Christiano, Eichenbaum, Evans (2005) model, the Smets and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463799
due to measurement error. We conclude that the evidence on the prevalence of small price changes is much too weak to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460703
Value-added models (VAMs) are increasingly used to measure school effectiveness. Yet random variation in school attendance is necessary to test the validity of VAMs, and to guide the selection of models for measuring causal effects of schools. In this paper, I use random assignment from a public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458860
This paper examines the flow of production and use of economic information and analyzes the effects of measurement … presumption that the measurement errors are random: Systematic errors are frequent and their sources and forms vary so much that … decade),measurement of short-term changes in the economy is particularly difficult and current signals are apt to be often …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478831
. The "top down" approach to behavioral finance focuses on the measurement of reduced form, aggregate sentiment and traces …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465464
Many ways exist to measure and model financial asset volatility. In principle, as the frequency of the data increases, the quality of forecasts should improve. Yet, there is no consensus about a true' or best' measure of volatility. In this paper we propose to jointly consider absolute daily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468577
We propose a measure of predictability based on the ratio of the expected loss of a short-run forecast to the expected loss of a long-run forecast. This predictability measure can be tailored to the forecast horizons of interest, and it allows for general loss functions, univariate or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472693
Long-run forecasts of economic variables play an important role in policy, planning, and portfolio decisions. We consider long-horizon forecasts of average growth of a scalar variable, assuming that first differences are second-order stationary. The main contribution is the construction of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459791