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productivity growth. In an application to India, we find that productivity growth in consumer services such as retail and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496104
substantially shift towards Asia and especially towards the Asian Giants, China and India. While such forecasts may pan out, there … are substantial reasons that China and India may grow much less rapidly than is currently anticipated. Most importantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458092
/capita, shares in world trade and market capitalization attributable both jointly and single to China, India, and Brazil (the three … time. In contrast the North-China gap falls from 57.2 to 13.1 between 1990 and 2009, and India from 70.4 to 38.1 using … market exchange rates and from 23.4 to 5.5 for China and from 20.7 to 11.4 for India using PPP rates. We calculate the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460976
Kremer, Willis, and You (2021) revisit cross-country convergence patterns over the last six decades. They provide evidence that the lack of convergence that applied early in the sample has now been replaced by modest convergence. They also argue this relationship is driven by convergence in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599282
Why did per capita income divergence occur so dramatically during the 19th Century, rather than at the outset of the Industrial Revolution? How were some countries able to reverse this trend during the globalization of the late 20th Century? To answer these questions, this paper develops a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479692
We develop a Bayesian latent factor model of the joint evolution of GDP per capita for 113 countries over the 118 years from 1900 to 2017. We find considerable heterogeneity in rates of convergence, including rates for some countries that are so slow that they might not converge (or diverge) in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480537
Income disparity across countries has been large and widening over time. We develop a tractable model where factor requirements in production technology do not necessarily match a country's factor input profile. Appropriate assimilation of frontier technologies balances such multi-dimensional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480613
W. Arthur Lewis argued that a new international economic order emerged between 1870 and 1913, and that global terms of trade forces produced rising primary product specialization and de-industrialization in the poor periphery. More recently, modern economists argue that volatility reduces growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464805
We revisit Western Europe's record with labor-productivity convergence, and tentatively extrapolate its implications for the future path of Eastern Europe. The poorer Western European countries caught up with the richer ones through both higher rates of physical capital accumulation and greater...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467642
We consider a neoclassical interpretation of Germany and Japan's rapid postwar growth that relies on a catch-up mechanism through capital accumulation where technology is embodied in new capital goods. Using a putty-clay model of production and investment, we are able to capture many of the key...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467958