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, analyze, and manage macroeconomic risk based on the theory and practice of modern contingent claims analysis (CCA). We … illustrate how to use the CCA approach to model and measure sectoral and national risk exposures, and analyze policies to offset … their potentially harmful effects. This new framework provides economic balance sheets for inter-linked sectors and a risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466024
Current practice largely follows restrictive approaches to market risk measurement, such as historical simulation or … cross-fertilize the academic and practitioner communities, promoting improved market risk measurement technologies that draw … produce more accurate risk assessments, treating both portfolio-level and asset-level analysis. Asset-level analysis is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460575
climate risk beliefs. We exploit two types of idiosyncratic belief shocks: (i) instances when fund advisers experience local … hedge portfolios for aggregate unemployment and house price risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477195
We survey the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. We highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend promising directions for future research. This survey is designed for both financial economists interested in grasping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322889
We theoretically characterize the behavior of machine learning asset pricing models. We prove that expected out-of-sample model performance--in terms of SDF Sharpe ratio and test asset pricing errors--is improving in model parameterization (or "complexity"). Our empirical findings verify the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372446
highlights the dynamic interaction between heterogeneous investors. In the model, long-term investors have higher risk …-taking capacity, but face a portfolio adjustment cost; liquidity traders have lower risk-taking capacity, but can trade freely. Our …-term investors requires liquidity traders to absorb the imbalance, who demand a higher risk premium that creates excessive bond price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635720
and conditional heteroskedasticity of exchange rates and on the behavior of foreign exchange risk premiums. The model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474097
The consumption beta theorem of Breeden makes the expected return on any asset a function only of its covariance with changes in aggregate consumption. It is shown that the theorem is more robust than was indicated by Breeden. The theorem obtains even if one deletes Breeden's assumptions that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478428
In absence of insurance contracts to share risk, public information is a double-edged sword. On the one hand, it … empowers self-insurance as agents better react to shocks, reducing risk. On the other hand, it weakens market-insurance as … common knowledge of shocks restricts trading risk. We embody these two faces of information in a single general …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482704
previously considered in existing quantitative macro studies of housing finance: aggregate business cycle risk, and a realistic …, the boom in house prices is entirely the result of a decline in the housing risk premium. Third, low interest rates cannot …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462665