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robust violations of discounted expected utility, inconsistent with both prospect theory probability weighting and models …Risk and time are intertwined. The present is known while the future is inherently risky. Discounted expected utility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462308
utility functions. Our main result is to show that in a multiagent economy, the problem of determining efficient allocations … extending to a stochastic environment Geoffard's (1996) concept of variational utility and his result that variational utility … is equivalent to recursive utility, and then using these results to characterize allocations in a multiagent setting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472314
We estimate discount rates of 555 subjects using a laboratory task and find that these individual discount rates predict inter-individual variation in field behaviors (e.g., exercise, BMI, smoking). The correlation between the discount rate and each field behavior is small: none exceeds 0.28 and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464379
At each age an organism produces energy by foraging and allocates this energy among reproduction, survival, growth, and intergenerational transfers. We characterize the optimal set of allocation decisions that maximizes reproductive fitness. Time preference (the discount rate) is derived from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464462
, yielding 14,570 decisions. Both the conditional fixed effect logit estimates of the random utility model and mixed logit … thereafter, which is inconsistent with exponential discounting but consistent with hyperbolic discounting. The implied marginal … rate of time preference declines and then rises. Estimates of the quasi-hyperbolic discounting parameter range from 0.48 to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466736
Is the standard hyperbolic-discounting model capable of robust qualitative predictions for savings behavior? Despite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453457
and combining those signals with priors to form posteriors. These posterior expectations exhibit as-if discounting: agents … forecasting (e.g., those with more intelligence) exhibit less discounting. Agents with more domain-relevant experience exhibit … less discounting. Older agents exhibit less discounting (except those with cognitive decline). Agents who are encouraged to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455427
with minimal assumptions. We present a general theorem that characterizes the set of discount functions and utility indices … compatible with any 'regular' preference. We provide conditions to test for separable discounted utility (SDU). We elicit … magnitude-dependent discounting with time distortion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457571
-of-sample, cross-validated comparison of intertemporal choice models. Heuristic models outperform traditional utility discounting …. We conclude that heuristic models explain time-money tradeoff choices in experiments better than utility discounting …, which can account for many of the known intertemporal choice anomalies, to discounting models. We conduct an out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457718
of the fungibility principle, excess discounting of future income, and large risk aversion. Methodologically, I develop a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696426