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socially desirable. I consider an environment with dispersed information and two aggregate shocks: a productivity shock and a … "news shock" which affects aggregate beliefs. Neither the central bank nor individual agents can distinguish the two shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465758
appointment of Volcker marked a change in the conduct of monetary policy, but inflation dropped only when fiscal policy … accommodated this change two years later. In fact, a disinflationary attempt of the monetary authority leads to more inflation if … been confident about the switch, the Great Inflation would not have occurred and debt would have been higher. This is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458470
With an estimated New Keynesian model, this paper compares the "Great Recession" of 2007-09 to its two immediate predecessors in 1990-91 and 2001. The model attributes all three downturns to a similar mix of aggregate demand and supply disturbances. The most recent series of adverse shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462236
not. However, he assumes that agents can directly observe the monetary policy shock. Reversing this assumption, I find the … that a threat by the Fed to move to an "unlearnable" equilibrium for all but one value of inflation is a poor foundation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463190
does not tighten monetary policy. Imported energy inflation can spill over to wage inflation through a wage-price spiral …, but this does not mitigate the decline in real wages. Monetary tightening has limited effect on imported inflation when … demand. Fiscal policy, especially energy price subsidies, can isolate individual energy importers from the shock, but it has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337777
and data. Second, because the NK model's predictions differ by the nature of the shock, we present evidence on the … procyclical conditional on a technology shock. However, we find that they are either procyclical or acyclical conditional on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459562
shock. Our estimated model uncovers a central role for investment in the transmission mechanism of monetary policy, as high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479171
We study optimal monetary and fiscal policy in a model with heterogeneous agents, incomplete markets, and nominal rigidities. We develop numerical techniques to approximate Ramsey plans and apply them to a calibrated economy to compute optimal responses of nominal interest rates and labor tax...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453010
We show that policy uncertainty about how the rising public debt will be stabilized accounts for the lack of deflation in the US economy at the zero lower bound. We first estimate a Markov-switching VAR to highlight that a zero-lower-bound regime captures most of the comovements during the Great...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458428
inflation, with emphasis on the role of oil shocks and accommodative monetary policy. The model features oil as a complementary … VAR. We then show that our model does a good job of explaining unemployment and inflation since 2010, including the recent … inflation surge that began in mid 2021. We show that mainly accounting for this surge was a combination oil price shocks and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287363