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We study the role of idiosyncratic income shocks for aggregate fluctuations within a simple heterogeneous household … framework with no binding borrowing constraints. We show that the presence of idiosyncratic income shocks affects the economy …'s response to an aggregate shock in a way that can be captured by a consumption weighted average of the changes in uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012814479
earnings shocks and find important asymmetries: positive shocks to high-income individuals are quite transitory, whereas … negative shocks are very persistent; the opposite is true for low-income individuals. Finally, we use these rich sets of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457753
unconditional cross-sectional moments of household consumption growth and the moments of the risk-free rate, equity premium, price …-dividend ratio, and aggregate dividend and consumption growth. The model-implied risk-free rate and price-dividend ratio are … procyclical while the market return has countercyclical mean and variance. Finally, household consumption risk explains the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458555
This paper studies the cyclical nature of individual income risk using a confidential dataset from the U.S. Social … end of the shock distribution collapses--large upward income movements become less likely--whereas the bottom end expands … average earnings (which is not the case during expansions). Finally, we find that the cyclical nature of income risk is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460624
accumulation in which households face idiosyncratic income risk and cannot commit to repay their debt. Therefore, even though a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056206
We assess the extent and cost of misallocation in agriculture in less-developed countries comparing the analysis at the plot and farm levels. Using detailed data from Uganda, we show that the plot-level analysis leads to extremely large estimates of reallocation gains, even after adjusting for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938718
The growing education and employment of women are usually cited as crucial forces behind the decline of marriage since 1960. However, both trends were already present between 1900 and 1960, during which time marriage became increasingly widespread. This early period differed from the post-1960...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462497
-family relations and focus on households as collections of roommates. The model's mechanism is that rising income leads to a falling … size, consumption patterns, and income in the cross-section at the end of the 20th century. We then project the model back … to 1850 by changing income. We find that our proposed mechanism can account for 37 percent of the decline in the number …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463172
subsequently exhibit high income. I re-examine this puzzle in California, where most Asians settled historically. Asians achieved …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455932
We link future members of Congress to the de-anonymized 1940 census to offer a uniquely detailed analysis of how economically unrepresentative American politicians were in the 20th century, and why. Future members under the age of 18 in 1940 grew up in households with parents who earned more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480102