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financial crisis of the 20th century - the Great Depression. Using balance-sheet and systemic risk measures at the bank level …, we build an econometric model with incidental truncation that jointly considers bank survival, the type of bank closure … (consolidations, absorption, and failures), and changes to bank risk. Despite roughly 9,000 bank closures, risk did not leave the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337771
bank approval disparity is also larger in more racially biased counties. We conclude that insofar as automation by fintechs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250189
This paper discusses parallels between our current recession and the Great Depression for the intelligent general public. It stresses the role of economic models and ideas in public policy and argues that gold-standard mentality still holds sway today. The parallels are greatest in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463005
that makes risky long-term loans to firms, funded by deposits from savers. Government guarantees create a role for bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012452964
In this paper, I offer some preliminary comparisons between the trade collapses of the Great Depression and Great Recession. The commodity composition of the two trade collapses was quite similar, but the latter collapse was much sharper due to the spread of manufacturing across the globe during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453886
We examine the impact of the Great Recession on charitable giving. We find sharp declines in overall donative behavior that is not accounted for by shocks to income or wealth. These results suggest that overall attitudes towards giving changed over this time period
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455778
Moderating spillovers from the advanced economies during the Great Moderation, the global information technology revolution, the influx of skilled immigrants from the former Soviet Union, the gradual buildup of robust and well-regulated financial institutions over decades after the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456112
Mobility within the European Union (EU) brings great opportunities and large overall benefits. Economically stagnant areas, however, may be deprived of talent through emigration, which may harm dynamism and delay political, and economic, change. A significant episode of emigration took place...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456326
This essay reviews Barry Eichengreen's recent book that compares the Great Depression and the Great Recession. Eichengreen focuses on deficient aggregate demand as the key reason for why both downturns were so deep and why they lasted so long. I assess the book's arguments regarding the causes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456436
We provide a novel methodology for estimating time-varying weights in linear prediction pools, which we call Dynamic Pools, and use it to investigate the relative forecasting performance of DSGE models with and without financial frictions for output growth and inflation from 1992 to 2011. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458090