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We propose a portmanteau test for serial correlation of the error term in a fixed effects model. The test is derived as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467268
instrumental variables that are assumed to be uncorrelated with unobservables. We instead assume (i) the correlation between the … instrument and the error term has the same sign as the correlation between the endogenous regressor and the error term, and (ii …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464213
The synthetic control method is widely used in comparative case studies to adjust for differences in pre-treatment characteristics. A major attraction of the method is that it limits extrapolation bias that can occur when untreated units with different pre-treatment characteristics are combined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479148
We develop a sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithm for estimating Bayesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, wherein a particle approximation to the posterior is built iteratively through tempering the likelihood. Using three examples consisting of an artificial state-space...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459510
reporting of polling error has focused solely on sampling error, represented by the margin of error of a poll. Survey … statisticians have long recommended measurement of the total survey error of a sample estimate by its mean square error (MSE), which … jointly measures sampling and non-sampling errors. Extending the conventional language of polling, we think it reasonable to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056107
Standard practice for the estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models maintains the assumption that economic variables are properly measured by a single indicator, and that all relevant information for the estimation is summarized by a small number of data series. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465872
Standard practice for the estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models maintains the assumption that economic variables are properly measured by a single indicator, and that all relevant information for the estimation is summarized by a small number of data series. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465874
This paper analyzes the performance of heteroskedasticity-and-autocorrelation-consistent (HAC) covariance matrix …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471034
of the covariates conditional on the propensity score is low, and/or the probability of treatment is close to zero or one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471690
It is widely believed that correlations between international equity markets tend to increase in highly volatile bear … correlations and volatilities that increase in bad times. We model the state dependance of US, UK, and German equity returns using …-varying correlations are negligible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471745