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is partially segmented from other financial markets: the prices of short-rate and bond supply risk are set by specialized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014437010
We consider a New Keynesian model with strategic monetary and fiscal interactions. The fiscal authority maximizes social welfare. Monetary policy is delegated to a central bank with an anti-inflation bias that suffers from a lack of commitment. The impact of central bank hawkishness on debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287347
We show that time variation in risk premia leads to time-varying idiosyncratic income risk for workers. Using US … administrative data on worker earnings, we show that increases in risk premia lead to lower earnings for low-wage workers; these … endogenous time-varying income risk in response to changes in risk premia and matches several stylized features of the data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447289
mechanisms that have been and can be used to combat these failures. Standardized contracts and creditable coverage mandates are … discussed, along with premium support, enrollment mandates, guaranteed issue, and risk adjustment, as remedies for selection … 2010. Enrollment mandates, premium subsidies, and risk adjustment can improve the stability and relative efficiency of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460721
firms' incentives to selectively enroll low-cost individuals, governments frequently "risk-adjust" payments to firms based … on enrollees' characteristics. We model how risk adjustment affects selection and differential payments---the government … that firms reduce selection along dimensions included in the risk-adjustment formula, while increasing selection along …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461681
We formulate a quantitative dynamic equilibrium theory of trade in the fed funds market, calibrate it to fit a comprehensive set of marketwide and micro-level cross-sectional observations, and use it to make two contributions to the operational side of monetary policy implementation. First, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322758
Using surveys of firms around the world, we review existing evidence on how firms form their macroeconomic expectations. Several facts stand out. First, the mean inflation forecasts of firms often deviate significantly from those of professional forecasters and households. Second, disagreement...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210070
Understanding factors that drive asset demand is central to explaining movements in long-term real interest rates. In this paper, we begin by documenting that much of the increase in the demand for assets in the US in the 30 years prior to Covid represented greater desire to hold assets by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512102
This paper combines new data and a narrative approach to identify shocks to political pressure on the Federal Reserve. From archival records, I build a data set of personal interactions between U.S. Presidents and Fed officials between 1933 and 2016. Since personal interactions do not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544739
We develop a tractable sticky price model in which the fraction of price changes evolves endogenously over time and, consistent with the evidence, increases with inflation. Because we assume that firms sell multiple products and choose how many, but not which, prices to adjust in any given...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544808