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We introduce dynamic incentive contracts into a model of unemployment dynamics and present three results. First, wage … cyclicality from incentives does not dampen unemployment dynamics: the response of unemployment to shocks is first … cyclicality from bargaining dampens unemployment dynamics through the standard mechanism. Third, our calibrated model suggests 46 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372479
employment is the efficient unemployment rate, u*. We define u* as the unemployment rate that minimizes the nonproductive use of …). Accordingly, the efficient unemployment rate is the geometric average of the unemployment and vacancy rates: u* = √uv. We compute …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334429
We show that the largest increase in unemployment benefits in U.S. history had large spending impacts and small job …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361970
. The model delivers a static wage Phillips curve linking current wage inflation to current unemployment. For standard … inflation and current unemployment. This result puts in perspective the role played by the forward-looking component of the new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477266
a demand-driven recession, inflation falls, preventing real wages from falling, leading to unemployment, while inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210053
At the onset of the COVID pandemic, the U.S. economy suddenly and swiftly lost 20 million jobs. Over the next two years, the economy has been on the recovery path. We assess the labor market two years into the COVID crisis. We show that early employment dynamics were almost entirely driven by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362041
and perfectly flexible prices and wages, give rise to cyclical variations in unemployment whose character closely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476976
consumption across states and times. Compared to the first best, there will be too little search. Optimal unemployment programs … welfare and may even increase GDP. Our analytical results suggest that welfare is higher if the unemployment benefits program … includes income-contingent unemployment loans (ICL), where the amount repaid depends on the individual's future income. Such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616645
provided unemployment insurance (UI) and loans against pension accounts changes over time in a model where unemployment may … unemployment; and even more so when there is a chance that the loan will not be repaid. As we present the optimal mix of loans and … loans should still be a part of the unemployment package for the young unemployed. We also show that, if the incidence of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459597
We design and field an innovative survey of unemployment insurance (UI) recipients that yields new insights about wage … efficient separations that holds in leading theories of job separations, frictional unemployment, and job ladders. We draw on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337762