Showing 1 - 10 of 326
average bank has a large notional amount of swaps-- $434 billion, or more than 10 times assets. But after accounting for the … significant extent to which swap positions offset each other, the average bank has essentially no net interest rate risk from … banks, with some bank swap positions decreasing and some increasing with rates, but aggregating swap positions at the level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250183
This paper presents techniques for modelling and estimating the behavior of financial market price or return differentials that follow non-linear regime-switching behaviour. The methodology to be used here is estimation of variants of threshold autoregression (TAR) models. In the basic model the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467162
We use the information in credit-default swaps to obtain direct measures of the size of the default and nondefault components in corporate spreads. We find that the majority of the corporate spread is due to default risk. This result holds for all rating categories and is robust to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468275
We construct a slope factor from changes in federal funds futures of different horizons. Slope predicts stock returns at the weekly frequency: faster monetary policy easing positively predicts excess returns. Investors can achieve increases in weekly Sharpe ratios of 20% conditioning on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455849
rates to represent many bank positions in terms of simple factor portfolios. This approach delivers time varying measures of … exposure that are comparable across banks as well as across the business segments of an individual bank. We also propose a … the history of interest rates. We use the approach to document stylized facts about the recent evolution of bank risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457333
We develop a tractable and flexible stochastic volatility multi-factor model of the term structure of interest rates. It features correlations between innovations to forward rates and volatilities, quasi-analytical prices of zero-coupon bond options and dynamics of the forward rate curve, under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466328
This paper studies the market price of credit risk incorporated into one of the most important credit spreads in the financial markets: interest rate swap spreads. Our approach consists of jointly modeling the swap and Treasury term structures using a general five-factor affine credit framework...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469724
We consider the patterns in the predictability of interest rates expectations hypothesis (EH), and attempt to account for them with affine models. We make the following points: (i) Discrepancies in the data from the EH take a particularly simple form with forward rates: as theory suggests, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472439
Term structure models employing Poisson-Gaussian processes may be used to accommodate the observed skewness and kurtosis of interest rates. This paper extends the discrete-time, pure-Gaussian version of the Heath-Jarrow-Morton model to the pricing" of American-type bond options when the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472764
We propose a nonparametric estimation procedure for continuous- time stochastic models. Because prices of derivative securities depend crucially on the form of the instantaneous volatility of the underlying process, we leave the volatility function unrestricted and estimate it nonparametrically....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473524