Showing 1 - 10 of 1,824
We show that the largest increase in unemployment benefits in U.S. history had large spending impacts and small job …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361970
through unemployment insurance (UI). We introduce a novel empirical test of standard neoclassical models of fertility that … the interaction of the aggregate unemployment rate with a measure of potential income replacement from UI. Our results … show that as UI benefit generosity reaches 100 percent income replacement, there is no effect of the unemployment rate on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226134
This paper asks how a fiscal expansion would affect Japan. It uses a textbook-style macro model calibrated to fit the Japanese economy. According to the results, Japan's output slump would be ended by a fiscal transfer of 6.6% of GDP. This policy raises the debt-income ratio in the short run,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467309
This paper studies optimal monetary policy under dynamic debt deleveraging once the zero bound is binding. Unlike the existing literature, the natural rate of interest is endogenous and depends on macroeconomic policy. Optimal monetary policy successfully raises the natural rate of interest by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458109
recession may yield biased results by ignoring whether government spending is increasing or decreasing. In the case of OECD ….3 compared to 1.3 if we just distinguish between recession and expansion. In extreme recessions, the long-run multiplier reaches …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458132
shocks that push interest rates to the zero bound, a temporary fiscal stimulus or a policy of fiscal austerity, appropriately …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460546
It is well known by now that government spending has typically been procyclical in developing economies but acyclical or countercyclical in industrial countries. Little, if any, is known, however, about the cyclical behavior of tax rates (as opposed to tax revenues, which are endogenous to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460906
In the past, industrial countries have tended to pursue countercyclical or, at worst, acyclical fiscal policy. In sharp contrast, emerging and developing countries have followed procyclical fiscal policy, thus exacerbating the underlying business cycle. We show that, over the last decade, about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461038
concept to account for the cross-country variation in the fiscal stimulus associated with the global crisis of 2009-2010. We …, and lower trade openness were associated with a higher fiscal stimulus/GDP during 2009-2010. Joint estimation indicates … that higher trade openness was associated with lower fiscal stimulus and higher depreciation rate during 2009-2010 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462118
This paper evaluates whether the cyclical pattern of fiscal policy can affect growth. We first build a simple endogenous growth model where entrepreneurs can invest either in short-run projects or in long-term growth enhancing projects. Long-term projects involve a liquidity risk which credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463531