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We review the literature on sovereign debt. We organize our survey around three central questions: (1) Why do sovereign debtors ever repay their debts? (2) What burdens, in the form of distortions and inefficiencies, does sovereign debt impose? and (3) How might debt be restructured to reduce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473755
-term bonds subject to standard contracting frictions: the country cannot commit to repay its debts nor to a specific path of … inefficient repayments. We examine the effects of alternative restructuring regimes, which either write-down debt or extend its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457880
In 1841 and 1842, eight states and the Territory of Florida defaulted on their sovereign debts. Traditional histories of the default crisis have stressed the causal role of the depression that began with the Panic of 1837, unexpected revenue shortfalls from canal and bank investments as a result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467937
bonds. Our main finding is that when reduction of debt is optimal, the sovereign should remain passive in the long-term bond … market during the deleveraging process, retiring long-term bonds as they mature but never actively issuing or buying back … these bonds. The only active margin is the short-term bond market, which involves partial roll over of such debt. Any active …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458946
This possibility of debt default provides the fiscal authority to issue public bonds strategically in an earlier period …We include a potential possibilities of the government bonds in our theoretical model. The public bonds, therefore …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466308
The COVID-19 epidemic in emerging markets risks a combined health, economic, and debt crisis. We integrate a standard epidemiology model into a sovereign default model and study how default risk impacts the ability of these countries to respond to the epidemic. Lockdown policies are useful for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481857
Nominal debt provides consumption-smoothing benefits if it can be inflated away during recessions. However, we document empirically that countries with more countercyclical inflation, where nominal debt provides better consumption-smoothing, issue more foreign-currency debt. We propose that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456087
Reducing high public debts is key for countries seeking to restore fiscal capacity and resilience in the wake of recent crises. But large debt reductions are rare. Jamaica stands out for reducing its debt from 144 percent of GDP to 72 percent over the last decade, a record achieved by running...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544743
What determines the sustainability of sovereign debt? We develop a model where myopic governments seek popularity but can nevertheless commit credibly to service external debt. They do not default when debt is low because they would lose access to debt markets and be forced to reduce spending;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461116
We develop a multicountry model in which default in one country triggers default in other countries. Countries are linked to one another by borrowing from and renegotiating with common lenders with concave payoffs. A foreign default increases incentives to default at home because it makes new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459113