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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000707718
cuts in defence spending. These surpluses follow a period (the eighties) of rather exceptional budget deficits. This paper … investigates the origin, size, and expected future patterns of the U.S. budget balance. It discusses how different political forces …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471280
budget constraint is a constraint on the government's instruments that must be satisfied for all admissible values of the … predetermined variables in the government's budget constraint; and anomalous behaviour of the equilibrium' price sequences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471482
If the U.S. is on a fiscally sustainable path, then higher U.S. government debt/output ratios should reliably predict higher future surpluses or lower real returns on Treasurys. In the post-war sample, we find no evidence for this. Neither future cash flows nor discount rates account for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660029
We use discounted cash flow analysis to measure a country's fiscal capacity. Crucially, the discount rate applied to projected cash flows includes a GDP risk premium. We apply our valuation method to the CBO's projections for the U.S. federal government's deficit between 2022 and 2051 and debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013190996
The analysis focuses on the government budget constraint and the resolution of inconsistent implications of different … reforms may cause jumps in inflation and the exchange rate through their impact on the government budget. In order to achieve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476939
This paper contains a descriptive analysis o+ real per capita annual revenues, expenditures, deficits, debt levels and capital expenditures for federal, state and local government finance in the United States for the rears 1952-83. It summarizes each time series as a deterministic trend and an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477006
governments, and attempts to model the impact on both the size of state budgets and on the sectors on which that budget is spent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477523
While most Americans have long favored a balanced federal budget , not all do. This paper uses cross … want the budget balanced. Logit models are fit to data from two different public opinion polls : a Gallup poll and a CBS …/New York Times poll conducted , respectively, in March and April of 1980, a time when the proposed balanced budget amendment to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477863
The paper studies budgetary, financial and monetary policy evaluationand design using a comprehensive wealth or permanent income accounting framework. A set of stylized balance sheets and permanent income accountsis constructed for the public, private and overseas sectors.These are then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478092