Showing 1 - 10 of 2,665
commodities with and without futures markets, we find no empirical link between increased futures market trading and changes in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453945
We use variance decompositions from high-dimensional vector autoregressions to characterize connectedness in 19 key commodity return volatilities, 2011-2016. We study both static (full-sample) and dynamic (rolling-sample) connectedness. We summarize and visualize the results using tools from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012454997
The last decade brought substantial increased participation in commodity markets by index funds that maintain long positions in the near futures contracts. Policy makers and academic studies have reached sharply different conclusions about the effects of these funds on commodity futures prices....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458772
informational channel noise from futures market trading can feed back to the real economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458956
The large inflow of investment capital to commodity futures markets in the last decade has generated a heated debate about whether financialization distorts commodity prices. Rather than focusing on the opposing views concerning whether investment flows either did or did not cause a price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459020
If commercial producers or financial investors use futures contracts to hedge against commodity price risk, the arbitrageurs who take the other side of the contracts may receive compensation for their assumption of nondiversifiable risk in the form of positive expected returns from their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459606
futures responded negatively to daily changes in the prediction market's expectations that the Waxman-Markey bill -- the US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544684
by at least 10%. The principal world economic crises ranked by importance are World War II, World War I and the Great … Depression, the early 1920s (possibly reflecting the influenza epidemic of 1918-20), and post-World War II events such as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464679
We provide new measures of ethnic, linguistic and religious fractionalization for about 190 countries. These measures are more comprehensive than those previously used in the economics literature and we compare our new variables with those previously used. We also revisit the question of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469292
Does leaving a currency union reduce international trade? We answer this question using a large annual panel data set covering 217 countries from 1948 through 1997. During this sample a large number of countries left currency unions; they experienced economically and statistically significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470324