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It has recently become popular to argue that globalization has had or will soon have dramatic consequences for the … banks. In this paper, I consider three possible mechanisms through which it might be feared that globalization can undermine … globalization, even of a much more thorough sort than has yet occurred, is unlikely to weaken the ability of national central banks …
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The first wave of globalization (1830-1914) witnessed a decline in the number of countries from 125 to 54. Political … consolidation was often achieved through war and conquest. The second wave of globalization (1950-present) has led instead to an … globalization and political structure that accounts for these trends and their reversal. We show that political structure adapts to …
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After decades of rising global economic integration, the world economy is now fragmenting. To measure this phenomenon, we introduce an index of geopolitical fragmentation derived from various empirical indicators. This index is developed using a flexible dynamic factor model with time-varying...
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We generalize the closed-economy neoclassical growth model (CNGM) to allow for costly goods trade and capital flows with imperfect substitutability between countries. We develop a tractable, multi-country, quantitative model that matches key features of the observed data (e.g., gravity equations...
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