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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003101383
When countries are hit by supply shocks, central banks often face the dilemma of either looking through such shocks or reacting to them to ensure that inflation expectations remain anchored. In this paper, we propose a tractable framework to capture this dilemma and explore optimal policy under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372498
This paper develops a structural VAR model to measure how a shock to one country can affect the GDP of other countries …. It uses trade linkages to estimate the multiplier effects of a shock as it is transmitted through other countries' output …-trade matrix. For example, due to these output-multiplier effects, a shock to one country can have a large impact on countries that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470116
an expansionary shock to monetary policy. Of these features, the most important are staggered wage contracts of average …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470317
The budget constraint requires that, eventually, consumption must adjust fully to any permanent shock to income … permanent shock. However, this paper shows that if consumers are impatient and are subject to transitory as well as permanent … stock savers have a target wealth-to-permanent-income ratio; a positive shock to permanent income moves the ratio below its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470491
This paper investigates the welfare costs of business cycles in a heterogeneous agent, overlapping generations economy which is distinguished by idiosyncratic labor market risk. Aggregate variation arises both in terms of aggregate productivity shocks and countercyclical variation in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470691
This essay discusses rules for monetary policy in open economies. If policymakers seek to stabilize output and inflation, optimal rules in open economies differ considerably from optimal rules in closed economies. In open economies, stability is best achieved by targeting long-run inflation' a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470827
-level equity portfolios. An application of the theory to the empirical results shows (a) large predicted levels of risky asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470832
This paper examines the extent to which permanent terms-of-trade shocks have an asymmetric effect on private savings. The first part uses a simple three-period model to show that, if households expect to face binding borrowing constraints in bad states of nature, savings rates will respond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471007
The paper extends previous analysis of closed-economy inflation targeting to a small open economy with forward-looking aggregate supply and demand with some microfoundations, and with stylized realistic lags in the different transmission channels for monetary policy. The paper compares targeting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471032