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What difference does it make, and for whom, whether the nonperforming debts of emerging market borrowers are restructured? This paper begins by positing a set of counterfactual conditions under which restructuring would not matter, and then shows how several ways in which the actual world of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471039
We build a model of financial sector illiquidity in an open economy. Illiquidity defined as a situation in which a country's consolidated financial system has potential short-term obligations in foreign currency that exceed the amount of foreign currency it can have access to on short notice can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471518
If the U.S. is on a fiscally sustainable path, then higher U.S. government debt/output ratios should reliably predict higher future surpluses or lower real returns on Treasurys. In the post-war sample, we find no evidence for this. Neither future cash flows nor discount rates account for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660029
Interest rates on government debt have fallen in many countries over the last several decades, with markets indicating that rates may stay low well into the future. It is by now well understood that sustained low interest rates can change the nature of long-run fiscal policy choices. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660030
debt remain a function of the dynamics of the primary budget deficit. As a way to study their joint behavior, we endogenize … a structural deficit in the form of an underfunded social-security scheme. We define debt capacity as the level of debt … the deficit cannot be financed. In several realistic scenarios occurring in economies, we calculate the needed policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660111
Is deficit finance, explicit or implicit, free when borrowing rates are routinely lower than growth rates? Specifically … provide no convincing basis for using deficit finance to redistribute from young and future generations or other countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585435
Deficit finance is free when the growth rate routinely exceeds the government's borrowing rate. Or so many people say … can lower the government borrowing rate, encouraging yet more inefficient deficit finance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585436
Debt in emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) is at its highest level in half a century. In about nine out of 10 EMDEs, debt is higher now than it was in 2010 and, in half of the EMDEs, debt is more than 30 percentage points of gross domestic product higher. Historically, elevated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629486
Governments around the world have gone on a massive fiscal expansion in response to the Covid crisis, increasing government debt to levels not seen in 75 years. How will this debt be repaid? What role do conventional and unconventional monetary policy play? We investigate debt sustainability in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616577
perpetually below the economic growth rate. Given an equilibrium with a public debt bubble, the primary deficit and the level of … transfers. There is no upper bound on the deficit level or long-run debt level that is sustainable in equilibrium. In a public … rise to a larger debt and primary deficit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616586