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Do Older Adults Accurately Forecast Their Social Security Benefits?
Seiter, Grant M.; Slavov, Sita N. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
How accurate are older people's expectations about their future Social Security benefits? Using panel data from the Health and Retirement Study, we compare respondents' observed Social Security claiming ages and benefits with subjective expectations provided during their 50s and early 60s. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247944
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Do the Retired Elderly in Europe Decumulate Their Wealth? The Importance of Bequest Motives, Precautionary Saving, Public Pensions, and Homeownership
Horioka, Charles; Ventura, Luigi - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
In this paper, we use micro data on a large number of European countries from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) to examine the wealth accumulation (saving) behavior of the retired elderly in Europe. To summarize our main findings, we find that less than half of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388826
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Fundamentally Reforming the DI System : Evidence from German Notch Cohorts
Fischer, Bjoern; Geyer, Johannes Micha; Ziebarth, Nicolas R. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
We study a fundamental reform of the public Disability Insurance (DI) system in Germany. Effective 2001, cohorts born after 1960 are no longer eligible for "occupational DI." Occupational DI (ODI) implies benefit eligibility when health shocks prevent employees from working in their previous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477304
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Relationship between Social Security Programs and Elderly Employment in Japan
Oshio, Takashi; Shimizutani, Satoshi; Oishi, Akiko Sato - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
This study examines how elderly employment is associated with social security programs and how it responds to recent reforms in Japan. To this end, we employed a rich and longitudinal dataset of middle-aged and older individuals collected between 2005 and 2018. By incorporating various factors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322857
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Preparing for an Aging Africa : Data-Driven Priorities for Economic Research and Policy
Duhon, Madeline E.; Miguel, Edward; Njuguna, Amos; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
The over-60 population in Sub-Saharan Africa is expected to grow rapidly in the coming decades, tripling between 2020 and 2050. Despite this explosive projected growth, few countries in the region have implemented policies designed to support older populations. Further, little research in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421175
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Long Social Distancing
Barrero, Jose Maria; Bloom, Nicholas; Davis, Steven J. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
More than ten percent of Americans with recent work experience say they will continue social distancing after the COVID-19 pandemic ends, and another 45 percent will do so in limited ways. We uncover this Long Social Distancing phenomenon in our monthly Survey of Working Arrangements and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435130
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The Negligible Effect of Free Contraception on Fertility : Experimental Evidence from Burkina Faso
Dupas, Pascaline; Jayachandran, Seema; Lleras-Muney, Adriana - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
limited access to contraception is an important driver of high fertility rates in West Africa. We do not find support for this … about family size and contraception, and social pressure. Free contraception did not influence fertility even in combination …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544706
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Fertility Beliefs and Outcomes : The Role of Relationship Status and Attractiveness
Gong, Yifan; Skura, Tyler; Stinebrickner, Ralph; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
Unique data from the Berea Panel Study provides new evidence about fertility outcomes before age 30 and beliefs about …, while married individuals have very accurate beliefs. Novel attractiveness measures are central for understanding fertility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576607
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The Cyclicality of Births and Babies' Health, Revisited : Evidence from Unemployment Insurance
Dettling, Lisa J.; Kearney, Melissa Schettini - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
through unemployment insurance (UI). We introduce a novel empirical test of standard neoclassical models of fertility that … fertility rates. This implies that the well-documented cyclical nature of fertility rates is about access to liquidity. We also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226134
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Estimating Causal Effects of Fertility on Life Course Outcomes : Evidence Using A Dyadic Genetic Instrumental Variable Approach
Zheng, Boyan; Lu, Qiongshi; Fletcher, Jason - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
The causal effects of fertility are a central focus in the social sciences, but the analysis is challenged by the … endogeneity of fertility choices. Earlier work has proposed several "natural experiments" from twin births or gender composition … rare (twins) and weak (gender composition) instrumental variables for fertility. This paper proposes a new "natural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226152