Showing 1 - 10 of 7,597
theory, strengthening the link between matching theories and earlier human capital analyses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478753
implications of risky behaviors by youths. I begin by reviewing perspectives on youth risk-taking from traditional rational … risk-taking by youths, and how this compares to adults. I review the evidence on youth risk taking from the studies in this … risk taking by youths, (b) despite this, these factors are not very successful in predicting the dramatic time series …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470969
different facets of this fact. We finally explain what the cumulated evidence means for macroeconomic theory. There is little …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481502
Uncertainty in both financial markets and the real economy rises sharply during recessions. We develop a model of informational interdependence between financial markets and the real economy, linking uncertainty to information production and aggregate economic activities. We argue that there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480637
In absence of insurance contracts to share risk, public information is a double-edged sword. On the one hand, it … empowers self-insurance as agents better react to shocks, reducing risk. On the other hand, it weakens market-insurance as … common knowledge of shocks restricts trading risk. We embody these two faces of information in a single general …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482704
Rational models of risk-averse consumers have difficulty explaining limited annuity demand. We posit that consumers … evaluate annuity products using a narrow "investment frame" that focuses on risk and return, rather than a "consumption frame …, exhibiting high risk without high returns. Survey evidence supports this hypothesis: whereas 72 percent of respondents prefer a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464900
We establish that the recursive, state-space methods of Kalman filtering and smoothing can be used to implement the Doan, Litterman, and Sims (1983) approach to econometric forecast and policy evaluation. Compared with the methods outlined in Doan, Litterman, and Sims, the Kalman algorithms are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477752
Macroeconomic news announcements are elaborate and multi-dimensional. We consider a framework in which jumps in asset prices around macroeconomic news and monetary policy announcements reflect both the response to observed surprises in headline numbers and latent factors, reflecting other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480669
This paper examines the correlated random coefficient model. It extends the analysis of Swamy (1971, 1974), who pioneered the uncorrelated random coefficient model in economics. We develop the properties of the correlated random coefficient model and derive a new representation of the variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462235
The dynamics of a linear (or linearized) dynamic stochastic economic model can be expressed in terms of matrices (A,B,C,D) that define a state space system. An associated state space system (A,K,C,Sigma) determines a vector autoregression for observables available to an econometrician. We review...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467294