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We study experimentally the properties of the majority runoff system and compare them to the ones of plurality rule, in the setup of a divided majority. Our focus is on Duverger's famous predictions that the plurality rule leads to a higher coordination of votes on a limited number of candidates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479899
Extremely narrow election outcomes--such as could be reversed by rejecting a few thousand ballots--are likely to … College system. Starting from probabilistic simulations of likely presidential election outcomes that are similar to the … output from election forecasting models, we calculate the likelihood of disputable, narrow outcomes under the Electoral …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482213
This paper investigates whether methods of public official selection affect policymaking in cities. I draw on the unique characteristics of California's city referendum process to identify the causal effect of city treasurers' method of selection on their cities' debt management policies. I...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463007
One frequently overlooked aspect of the U.S.-style electoral college system is that it discourages election fraud. In a … presidential election based on the popular vote, competing political parties are motivated to manipulate votes in areas where they … electoral college system provides more effective protection against election fraud compared to the popular vote system. While …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322861
We try to demonstrate how economists may engage in research on comparative politics, relating the size and composition of government spending to the political system. A Downsian model of electoral competition and forward-looking voting indicates that majoritarian -- as opposed to proportional --...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471964
Polities differ in the extent to which political parties can pre-commit to carry out promised policy actions if they take power. Commitment problems may arise due to a divergence between the ex ante incentives facing national parties that seek to capture control of the legislature and the ex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467285
The upcoming demographic crisis in Germany demands fundamental reforms of the pension system. In a democracy, reforms are, however, only feasible when they are supported by the majority of the electorate. To determine whether the majority is in favor of reforms of the pension system, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470215
Prior to elections, governments (at all levels) frequently undertake a consumption binge. Taxes are cut, transfers are raised, and government spending is distorted towards highly visible items. The "political business cycle" (better be thought of as "the political budget cycle") has been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476639
main opponents. At the same time, formally winning the election does not guarantee staying in power. We present a unified …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458146
Elections between black and white candidates tend to involve close margins and high turnout. Using a novel dataset of municipal vote returns during the rise of black mayors in U.S. cities, this paper establishes new facts about turnout and competition in close interracial elections. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460343