Showing 1 - 10 of 1,097
This paper critically re-examines theory and evidence on the relation- ship between interest rates and inflation. It … concludes that there is no evidence that interest rates respond to inflation in the way that classical or Keynesian theories … inflation in the short or long run. During the post-war period interest rates do appear to be affected by inflation. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478275
fluctuations in expected inflation, is why a strong Fisher effect occurs only for certain periods but not for others. This paper … resolves this puzzle by reexamining the relationship between inflation and interest rates with modern time-series techniques …. Recognition that the level of inflation and interest rates may contain stochastic trends suggests that the apparent ability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475383
We consider the puzzling behavior of interest rates and inflation in the United States and the United Kingdom between … World War I; the average inflation rate was 3.8 percentage points higher in the second period than in the first. Yet nominal … consistent with rational expectations if inflation were not forecastable, and indeed univariate tests show little sign of serial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476273
inflation rate is -.17. The corresponding correlation for the period 1950 to 1979 is .71. Inflation evolved from essentially a … stochastic process of inflation, rather than a change in any structural relationship between nominal rates and expectedi nflation …. I find little evidence of inflation non-neutrality in data from the gold standard period.This contradicts the conclusion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477147
inflation illusion. Illusionary investors mistake changes in nominal interest rates for changes in real rates, while smart … moves with expected inflation. The model also predicts a nonmonotonic relationship between the price-to-rent ratio on … developed. We document that many countries experienced a housing boom in the high-inflation 1970s and a second, stronger, boom …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465699
This paper develops two models, one involving risk neutrality and the other risk aversion, which suggest that inflation … evidence supports the hypothesis that inflation uncertainty affects interest rates. Interpreted in terms of the risk neutral … model, the empirical results suggest that inflation uncertainty has a negative impact on nominal interest rates and a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478202
Twenty five years after the publication of the second edition, this paper describes and evaluates the Contributions to monetary and macroeconomics made in Don Patinkin's Money, Interest, and Prices (MIP). Its first accomplishment was to settle definitively many issues, such as the valid and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475425
We examine asset prices in environments where the risk-free rate lies considerably below the growth rate. To do so, we introduce a tractable model of a production economy featuring heterogeneous trading technologies, as well as idiosyncratic and aggregate risk. We show that allowing for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436963
We review the literature on multi-horizon currency risk premiums. We show how the multi-horizon implications arise from the classic present-value relationship. We further show how these implications manifest themselves in the interaction between bond and currency risk premiums. This link is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322805
This note tests the hypothesis that nominal interest differentials between similar assets denominated in different currencies can be explained entirely by the expected change in the exchange rate over the holding period. This proposition, often called the "Fisher open" hypothesis or the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478598