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This paper examines the relationship between the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSE) and election polls during the 1988 … Canadian General Election campaign. Two hypotheses are investigated: first, did polls influence the TSE, and secondly, if so …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475973
not run in Santa Cruz de Tenerife, a relatively representative electoral constituency, in the general election of July 23 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576639
Polities differ in the extent to which political parties can pre-commit to carry out promised policy actions if they take power. Commitment problems may arise due to a divergence between the ex ante incentives facing national parties that seek to capture control of the legislature and the ex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467285
statewide election totals, or in counties where election officials had incentives to affect the results. Contrary to this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467374
election even though such spending may be due to opportunistic manipulation, because it can also reflect sincere preference of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467600
This paper shows how unilateral liberalization in one country can increase the voting support for reciprocal reduction in trade barriers in a partner country. When trade policies are determined simultaneously in the two countries, we show the possibility of multiple political equilibria -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467863
challenger quality, which are separately identified using histories of election outcomes following an open seat election. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467942
United v. Federal Election Commission ruling provides an exogenous shock to corporate campaign spending, allowing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362006
This paper develops a new approach to detecting electoral fraud. Our context involves repeaters, individuals voting in multiple states in the U.S. during 19th Century Congressional Elections. Given high travel times, and the associated difficulties of voting in multiple states on the same day,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362047
durability is expected to increase in the future. The applications of this durability effect include deadline and election … highest in the immediate aftermath of the election, but it decreases as the next election approaches …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456391