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Treisman, Daniel - 2010

wealth tends to undermine democracy. Given high oil prices, some observers see the country as virtually condemned to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462985

Social Mobility and Stability of Democracy : Re-evaluating De Tocqueville

Acemoglu, Daron - 2016

An influential thesis often associated with De Tocqueville views social mobility as a bulwark of democracy: when … force making democracy less stable in societies with high social mobility: when the median voter expects to move up …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456501

Resource Windfalls, Political Regimes, and Political Stability

Caselli, Francesco - 2011

We study theoretically and empirically whether natural resource windfalls affect political regimes. We document the following regularities. Natural resource windfalls have no effect on the political system when they occur in democracies. However, windfalls have significant political consequences...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461056

The Ups and Downs of Turkish Growth, 2002-2015 : Political Dynamics, the European Union and the Institutional Slide

Acemoglu, Daron - 2015

following Turkey's financial crisis in 2001, but then started moving in the opposite direction in the second half of 2000s. This … deepening in Turkish democracy under the prodding and the guidance of the European Union, and witnessed the waning of the … military's influence and the broadening of effective political participation. As Turkey-European Union relations collapsed and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457061

Electoral Violence and Supply Chain Disruptions in Kenya's Floriculture Industry

Ksoll, Christopher; Macchiavello, Rocco; Morjaria, Ameet - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

Violent conflicts, particularly at election times in Africa, are a common cause of instability and economic disruption. This paper studies how firms react to electoral violence using the case of Kenyan flower exporters during the 2008 post-election violence as an example. The violence induced a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629517

Elections, Political Polarization, and Economic Uncertainty

Baker, Scott R. - 2020

We examine patterns of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) around national elections in 23 countries. Uncertainty shows a clear tendency to rise in the months leading up to elections. Average EPU values are 13% higher in the month of and the month prior to an election than in other months of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482181

Conflict and Deterrence under Strategic Risk

Chassang, Sylvain - 2008

We examine the mechanics of deterrence and intervention when fear is a motive for conflict. We contrast results obtained in a complete information setting, where coordination is easy, to those obtained in a setting with strategic risk, where players have different assessments of their...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464685

Is the "Surge" Working? Some New Facts

Greenstone, Michael - 2007

There is a paucity of facts about the effects of the recent military "Surge" on conditions in Iraq and whether it is paving the way for a stable Iraq. Selective, anecdotal and incomplete analyses abound. Policy makers and defense planners must decide which measures of success or failure are most...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465190

Legal-Political Factors and the Historical Evolution of the Finance-Growth Link

Bordo, Michael D. - 2006

Recent cross-country investigations of the role of institutional fundamentals such as the protection of property rights in promoting financial development have extended a literature that has for decades maintained that financial factors can affect real outcomes. In this paper we pursue this new...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466634

Financial Crises and Political Crises

Chang, Roberto - 2005

This paper is an analysis of the simultaneous determination of financial default and political crises and its consequences. It focuses on a small open economy that faces a debt default decision. Crucially, this decision is made by a government that has superior information than the public about...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466892

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