Showing 1 - 10 of 83
We propose a Bayesian procedure for exploiting small, possibly long-lag linear predictability in the innovations of a finite order autoregression. We model the innovations as having a log-spectral density that is a continuous mean-zero Gaussian process of order 1/√T. This local embedding makes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461943
While the Sharpe ratio is still the dominant measure for ranking risky assets, a substantial effort has been made over the past three decades to find a way to account for non-Normally distributed risks. This paper derives a generalized ranking measure which, under a regularity condition,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459163
This paper studies asset pricing in a setting in which idiosyncratic risk in human capital is not fully insurable. Firms use long-term contracts to provide insurance to workers, but neither side can commit to these contracts; furthermore, worker-firm relationships have endogenous durations owing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480625
This paper highlights a previously-unnoticed property of commonly-used discrete choice models, which is that they feature parallel demand curves. Specifically, we show that in random utility models, inverse aggregate demand curves shift in parallel with respect to variety if and only if the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481632
We investigate whether a model with a time-varying probability of economic disaster can explain the pricing of collateralized debt obligations, both prior to and during the 2008-2009 financial crisis. Namely, we examine the pricing of tranches on the CDX, an index of credit default swaps on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455957
This paper compares different solution methods for computing the equilibrium of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models with rare disasters along the line of those proposed by Rietz (1988), Barro (2006}, Gabaix (2012), and Gourio (2012). DSGE models with rare disasters require...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456676
We document that even though the normal distribution provides a good approximation to GDP fluctuations, it severely underpredicts "macroeconomic tail risks," that is, the frequency of large economic downturns. Using a multi-sector general equilibrium model, we show that the interplay of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457801
variants of value at risk models that estimate frequency, severity, and loss distributions. This paper examines the empirical … regularities in operational loss data. Using loss data from six large internationally active banking institutions, we find that … loss data by event types are quite similar across institutions. Furthermore, our results are consistent with economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467582
This paper investigates the extent to which loss-offset constraints affect corporate tax incentives. Using data … sector had tax loss carryforwards. When weighted by their market value, however, these firms account for less than three … percent of this sector, suggesting that loss carryforwards are concentrated among small firms and affect relatively few large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477213
U.S. airlines have lost nearly $60 billion (2009 dollars) in domestic markets since deregulation, most of it in the last decade. More than 30 years after domestic airline markets were deregulated, the dismal financial record is a puzzle that challenges the economics of deregulation. I examine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461914