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In this paper we provide empirical measures of central bank credibility and augment these with historical narratives … their role in influencing the credibility of the monetary authority. We focus on measures of inflation expectations, the … credibility is particularly vulnerable during financial crises, whether its evolution is a function of the type of crisis or its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457842
This paper examines the historical evolution of central bank credibility using both historical narrative and empirics … for a group of 16 countries, both advanced and emerging. It shows how the evolution of credibility has gone through a … pendulum where credibility was high under the classical gold standard before 1914 before being lost and not fully regained …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457973
, and other major advanced economies have similar levels of credibility (albeit far from full credibility); however, Japan …This paper studies the effectiveness of forward guidance when central banks have imperfect credibility. Exploiting … expectations. In our model, the key parameter that aggregates heterogeneous expectations captures the central bank's credibility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421202
This paper employs a novel multi-country dataset of corporate defaults to develop a model of distress risk specific to emerging markets. The data suggest that global financial variables such as US interest rates and shifts in global liquidity and risk aversion have significant predictive power...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481796
Measuring the private returns to R&D requires knowledge of its private depreciation or obsolescence rate, which is inherently variable and responds to competitive pressure. Nevertheless, most of the previous literature has used a constant depreciation rate to construct R&D capital stocks and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465175
Following a brief review of the U.S. domestic airline industry under regulation (1938-1978), we study the changes that have occurred in pricing, service, and competition in the 28 years since deregulation. We then examine some of the major public policy issues facing the industry: (a) the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465197
The extent of and changes in inter-generational mobility of wealth are central to understanding dynamics of wealth inequality but hard to measure. Using estate tax returns data, we observe that the share of women among the very wealthy (top 0.01%) in the United States peaked in the late 1960s,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465491
What is good for big business need not generally advance a country's overall economy. Big business turnover correlates with rising income, productivity, and (in high income countries) faster capital accumulation; consistent with Schumpeter's (1912) creative destruction and recent formalizations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466271
This paper explores the determinants of corporate failure and the pricing of financially distressed stocks using US data over the period 1963 to 2003. Firms with higher leverage, lower profitability, lower market capitalization, lower past stock returns, more volatile past stock returns, lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466303
A vast labor literature has found evidence of a "glass ceiling", whereby women are under-represented among senior management. A key question remains the extent to which this reflects unobserved differences in productivity, preferences, prejudice, or systematically biased beliefs about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466682