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implications for the allocation of risk between generations. There is no reason to presume that the market or the family can … allocate risk efficiently to future generations, implying that stochastic government policies have the potential to create …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477349
This paper examines the risk aspects of a fully phased-in investment-based defined contribution Social Security plan … system. A higher saving rate provides a cushion' that reduces the risk of unacceptably low benefits. For example, saving 6 … annuity exceeds 92 percent of the benchmark benefit. We also study a modified plan in which retirees face no risk of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471973
. After a negative macroeconomic shock, relatively risk tolerant investors sell risky assets while more risk averse investors … risk after a negative macroeconomic shock and lower exposure after a positive shock …This paper develops an overlapping generations model of optimal rebalancing where agents differ in age and risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012452998
The theoretical literature on generational risk assumes that this risk is large and that the government can effectively …We find that intrinsic generational risk is quite small, that government policies can produce generational risk, and … that bond markets can help share generational risk. We also show that a bond market can mitigate risk-inducing government …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459483
Is there an economic rationale for pronatalist policies? In this paper we propose and analyze a particular market failure that may lead to inefficiently low equilibrium fertility and therefore to a need for government intervention. The friction we investigate is related to the ownership of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462988
benefits of risk reduction, leaving systems with more frequent adjustments that spread risks broadly among generations as those …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463965
The data show that an increase in government provided old-age pensions is strongly correlated with a reduction in fertility. What type of model is consistent with this finding? We explore this question using two models of fertility, the one by Barro and Becker (1989), and the one inspired by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467539
This paper studies the macroeconomic and efficiency effects of privatizing social security. It does so by simulating alternative privatization schemes using the Auerbach-Kotlikoff Dynamic Life-Cycle Model. The simulations indicate three things. First, privatizing social security can generate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473058
a simple extension of the long-run risk model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480268
Assessing the importance of uninsurable wage risk for individual financial choices faces two challenges. First, the … identification of the marginal effect requires a measure of at least one component of risk that cannot be diversified or avoided …. Moreover, measures of uninsurable wage risk must vary over time to eliminate unobserved heterogeneity. Second, evaluating the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455797