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levels of public debt, thus limiting the ability of policymakers to fight the next recession. Whether new fiscal stimulus … borrowing, especially during periods of economic weakness. Indeed, fiscal stimulus in a weak economy can improve fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453922
The global financial crisis has permanently lowered the path of GDP in all advanced economies. At the same time, and in response to rising government debt levels, many of these countries have been engaging in fiscal consolidations that have had a negative impact on growth rates. We empirically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456303
After the Global Financial Crisis a controversial rush to fiscal austerity followed in many countries. Yet research on … the effects of austerity on macroeconomic aggregates was and still is unsettled, mired by the difficulty of identifying … novel approach, we show that austerity is always a drag on growth, and especially so in depressed economies: a one percent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459247
countries, (ii) the fiscal multiplier is relatively large in economies operating under predetermined exchange rates but is zero …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462178
debate on whether multipliers were higher on the stimulus spending in the U.S. and the fiscal consolidations in Europe …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479486
We use Bayesian prior and posterior analysis of a monetary DSGE model, extended to include fiscal details and two distinct monetary-fiscal policy regimes, to quantify government spending multipliers in U.S. data. The combination of model specification, observable data, and relatively diffuse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457235
substitution effects, yielding uniform comparisons across models. By constraining the multiplier to tight ranges, model and prior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461214
We analyze whether government spending multipliers differ by the sign of the shock. Using aggregate historical U.S. data, we apply Ben Zeev's (2020) nonlinear diagnostic tests and find evidence of nonlinearities in the impulse response functions of both government spending and GDP. We then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247936
concept to account for the cross-country variation in the fiscal stimulus associated with the global crisis of 2009-2010. We …, and lower trade openness were associated with a higher fiscal stimulus/GDP during 2009-2010. Joint estimation indicates … that higher trade openness was associated with lower fiscal stimulus and higher depreciation rate during 2009-2010 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462118
This paper considers budget expansions and adjustments in OECD countries in the last three decades. Our main results are: i) on average fiscal expansions are the results of increases in expenditures, particularly of transfer programs, while contractions are typically due to tax increases; ii)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473663