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small movement along a downward sloping Beveridge curve (unemployment-vacancy locus). A shock to the job destruction rate … generates a counterfactually positive correlation between unemployment and vacancies. In both cases, the shock is only slightly …-cycle-frequency fluctuations in unemployment and job vacancies in response to shocks of a plausible magnitude. In the U.S., the vacancy-unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469164
The job finding rate of Unemployment Insurance (UI) recipients declines in the initial months of unemployment and then … effort. The panel structure allows us to observe how search effort evolves within individual over the unemployment spell. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481994
We develop a dynamic model of transitions in and out of employment. A worker finds a job at an optimal stopping time, when a Brownian motion with drift hits a barrier. This implies that the duration of each worker's jobless spells has an inverse Gaussian distribution. We allow for arbitrary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456487
We empirically and theoretically examine how consumer credit access affects displaced workers. Empirically, we link administrative employment histories to credit reports. We show that an increase in credit limits worth 10% of prior annual earnings allows individuals to take .15 to 3 weeks longer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456401
We show that the largest increase in unemployment benefits in U.S. history had large spending impacts and small job …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361970
sharp increase in the incidence of long-term unemployment (LTU) during the Great Recession. We first show that compositional … shifts in demographics, occupation, industry, region, and the reason for unemployment jointly account for very little of the … model that allows for duration dependence in the exit rate from unemployment and for transitions between employment (E …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458392
A search and matching model, when calibrated to the mean and volatility of unemployment in the postwar sample, can … potentially explain the large unemployment dynamics in the Great Depression. The limited response of wages to labor market … conditions from credible bargaining and the congestion externality from matching frictions cause the unemployment rate to rise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459456
business cycle. Second, a shock that moves the land price is capable of generating large volatility in unemployment. Our … estimation indicates that a 10 percent drop in the land price leads to a 0.34 percentage point increase of the unemployment rate … facts observed in the data. First, the land price and the unemployment rate tend to move in opposite directions over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459279
This paper explores the effect of news shocks on the current account and other macroeconomic variables using worldwide giant oil discoveries as a directly observable measure of news shocks about future output-the delay between a discovery and production is on average 4 to 6 years. We first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457809
Does the mere presence of big banks affect macroeconomic outcomes? In this paper, we develop a theory of granularity (Gabaix, 2011) for the banking sector, introducing Bertrand competition and heterogeneous banks charging variable markups. Using this framework, we show conditions under which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459568